WTA Madrid Tennis Masters 2023 Predictions and Betting Odds (April 25 – May 7)
The WTA Tour heads to slightly warmer courts this week as the best women in the world line up for the Mutua Madrid Open 2023. With Spanish clay on show and the second Grand Slam of the year looming in a little over a month’s time, every tournament at this stage of the season is crucial. Especially, when it’s a WTA Tour Masters 1000 event.
WTA Madrid Masters 2023: Tennis Event Details
The big question is, have we just witnessed the rekindling of Iga Swiatek’s 2022 form in the last week? The World No.1 has looked less invincible in 2023, but after steamrolling the competition in front of her at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix in Stuttgart last week, Swiatek is looking ominous. As the heavy favorite to win in Madrid, can anyone from the rest of the women’s field stand up to the hard-hitting Pole? We answer this question and more with our WTA Madrid Masters 2023 predictions.
|ℹ️ Tournament:||Matua Madrid Open, WTA Tour 1000|
|🏟️ Venue:||La Caja Magica, Madrid, Spain|
|🗓️ Dates:||Tuesday, 25 April to Sunday, 7 May 2023|
2023 Madrid Open Tennis Odds
To set the scene for our analysis, here’s a look at the 2023 Madrid Open tennis odds based on the top tennis bookmakers in Spain:
- Iga Swiatek @ 2.10 (11/10)
- Aryna Sabalenka @ 8.50 (15/2)
- Jessica Pegula @ 15.00 (14/1)
- Elena Rybakina, Barbora Krejcikova and Paula Badosa @ 17.00 (16/1)
- Cori Gauff @ 26.00 (25/1)
It seems women’s tennis mirrors what’s going on in the men’s game right now. The first quarter of this year has been heavily competitive, but just as Carlos Alcaraz appears to have pulled away from the pack on the ATP Tour, so too is Iga Swiatek putting some distance between herself and the challengers on the WTA Tour.
With odds of 2.10 (11/10), Swiatek is well ahead of the next favorite, Aryna Sabalenka, who sits at 8.50 (15/2). An even greater drop exists to the third favorite in the betting odds, with Jessica Pegula at 15.00 (14/1). From here, the odds open up, as Elena Rybakina, Barbora Krejcikova, and Paula Badosa are all level at 17.00 (16/1), with Coco Gauff rounding out the favorites at 26.00 (25/1).
Understanding the Women’s Madrid Tennis Tournament
For 14 years now, the Mutua Madrid Open has been one of the premier female clay court events. Replacing the German Open in 2009, it is played alongside a parallel ATP event and is contested as a WTA Masters 1000 event. As a result, it attracts the highest caliber of contestants and is a critical event for players to get into form ahead of Roland Garros in late May.
Last Five Winners
- 2017 – Simona Halep beat Kristina Mladenovic
- 2018 – Petra Kvitova beat Kiki Bertens
- 2019 – Kiki Bertens beat Simona Halep
- 2021 – Aryna Sabalenka beat Ashleigh Barty
- 2022 – Ons Jabeur beat Jessica Pegula
With 2022 champion Ons Jabeur unable to defend her title due to a calf injury, the Madrid Open title is there for the taking. Considering that past champions such as Kiki Bertens and Simona Halep are also no longer competing on the WTA Tour, is this Iga Swiatek’s chance to win her first crown in Madrid? Or will Aryna Sabalenka and Petra Kvitova ignite some past form on these courts? Read on for our 2023 Women’s Madrid Open predictions.
2023 Women Madrid Masters Predictions
Chances are, you’ve come here for Madrid Open 2023 betting tips women. Then you’re in the right place because our experts have analyzed the women’s tennis odds and come up with the following free tips for the WTA Madrid Masters 2023:
Winner to Come from Top Half of Draw @ 1.40 (2/5)
This may not be the most lucrative bet, but it’s the safest. The top half of the draw in Madrid this week contains not only Iga Swiatek, the overwhelming favorite but also 2022 finalist Jessica Pegula and Indian Wells champion Elena Rybakina. Chances are Swiatek will navigate her way through this side of the draw to victory, but betting on the entire top half builds a safety net into your wager that allows for the likes of Pegula to hit some clay court form and upset the Pole.
Iga Swiatek to Win @ 2.10 (11/10)
As outlined above, we believe Iga Swiatek is the way to go in Madrid. There’s a reason she’s so heavily ahead in the betting odds – her performance last week on the Stuttgart clay was incredibly dominant. Swiatek’s heavy topspin forehand is a devastating weapon on the slower clay courts, and as recent results have evidenced, it is very difficult for other women on the WTA Tour to deal with.
While the 21-year-old hasn’t had the impeccable year in 2023 that she saw in 2022, she’s still the World No.1. To date, she’s 20-4 for the season and has won titles at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix and Qatar Total Energies Open. Most importantly, it’s hard to see who will beat her in Madrid – Ons Jabeur is injured, Elena Rybakina struggled with a lower back injury last week, and Swiatek trounced Aryna Sabalenka in the Stuttgart final on the weekend.
Those extra confident in Switek’s return to form could even back the Pole to win without dropping a set for a higher return of 7.00 (6/1), just like we did it with Alcaraz in the ATP 2023 Madrid Open predictions.
High Odds Predictions for the Madrid Masters 2023
Speaking of high-return bets, here are two of our most lucrative suggestions for those who want to bet on the 2023 WTA Madrid Open:
Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Final @ 7.00 (6/1)
It is statistically unlikely to see back-to-back events have the same two finalists; however, there’s a good argument to be made here. Firstly, Swiatek and Sabalenka are on opposite sides of the draw and have a path to meeting in the final.
We’ve already made the case for why Swiatek will likely be in the final. As for Sabalenka, the Belarussian knows what it takes to navigate a Madrid draw, winning the title in 2021. She’s also made the final in two of her last three events and has a favorable draw to make it three from four here in Madrid.
Petra Kvitova to Win @ 34.00 (33/1)
While this tournament appears to be the Iga Swiatek show, there’s always a chance that things don’t go to plan in women’s tennis. Someone looking to upset the pattern of play will be Czech Petra Kvitova. The veteran has had a volatile season so far, with some underwhelming results to begin, but most recently winning the Masters 1000 tournament in Miami. This will be her first event since then, and with Kvitova having won Madrid in 2011, 2015, and 2018, the 33-year-old is a genuine threat to cause an upset here and claim her fourth Mutua Madrid Open trophy.
Our Recommended WTA Madrid Masters 2023 Predictions
- Iga Swiatek to Win @ 2.10 (11/10)
- Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Final @ 7.00 (6/1)
The build-up to this year’s French Open well and truly picks up speed over the next ten days, as the first clay court Masters 1000 of the WTA season takes place in Madrid. Plenty of women will be vying for the title, but one stands head and shoulders above the competition. Can Iga Swiatek continue her momentum from Stuttgart and claim back-to-back clay court titles? We say she will, and Aryna Sabalenka will again be her victim in the final.