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ATP Madrid Tennis Masters 2023 Predictions and Betting Odds (April 26 – May 7)

ATP 2023 Madrid Masters Betting Tips & Predictions

Smell that earthy scent? That’s the road to Roland Garros, and it’s getting trodden on again this week. The Madrid Open 2023 begins in Spain, with the best players in men’s tennis hitting the red clay of Madrid to fine-tune their games ahead of the year’s biggest clay-court tournament just around the corner.

ATP Madrid Masters 2023: Tennis Event Details

News this week is that Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, and Jannik Sinner have all withdrawn from the Madrid Masters, which only means one thing: This tournament is Carlos Alcaraz’s to lose. The question is, will he? Or will the 19-year-old ball-hitting machine continue to devastate the rest of the ATP Tour and win yet another title in 2023?

Casper Ruud, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Holger Rune, and 92 other men will also be desperately hoping Alcaraz glitches in the Spanish sun, but whether or not he remains to be seen. We break down everything you need to know about this ATP Tour Masters, with our ATP Madrid Masters 2023 predictions in this betting preview.

ℹ️ Tournament: Matua Madrid Open, ATP Tour 1000
🏟️ Venue: La Caja Magica, Madrid, Spain
🗓️ Dates: Wednesday, 26 April to Sunday, 7 May 2023

2023 Madrid Master Tennis Odds

Only came here to see what the best odds are from legal Spanish bookmakers? Then you’re in luck because here are the latest 2023 Madrid Masters tennis odds:

  • Carlos Alcaraz @ 1.80 (4/5)
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 10.00 (9/1)
  • Daniil Medvedev @ 11.00 (10/1)
  • Holger Rune and Alexander Zverev @ 17.00 (16/1)
  • Casper Ruud @ 21.00 (20/1)

Here at BetZillion, we know our tennis. When we say something is rare, it’s RARE. Looking at these odds, it is incredibly rare to see such a discrepancy in men’s tennis odds. Carlos Alcaraz is so far ahead of the rest of the field they can’t even see his clay dust.

With odds of 1.80 (4/5), those who want to bet on the 2023 Madrid Open get a reasonably small return for Carlos Alcaraz winning. Stefanos Tsitsipas, however, pays whopping odds for the second favorite at 10.00 (9/1). Behind him, Daniil Medvedev is at 11.00 (10/1) before Holger Rune and Alexander Zverev are tied at 17.00 (16/1), with Casper Ruud back at 21.00 (20/1).

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Understanding the Men’s Madrid Tennis Tournament

For the past two decades, the Matua Madrid Open has played an important role in the build-up to the second Grand Slam of the tennis year. Played on clay, the Madrid Open is an ATP Masters 1000 event, making it one of the biggest events of the year outside of the four Majors.

Traditionally, this is a tough tournament to win. Since 2004, only three players outside of the Big Four (Andy Murray is still in the grid in Spain, actually) have been able to win the Madrid Open. Of them, only David Nalbandian was a true dark horse. The others, Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev, were established top 10 players.

Last Five Winners

  • 2017 – Rafael Nadal beat Dominic Thiem
  • 2018 – Alexander Zverev beat Dominic Thiem
  • 2019 – Novak Djokovic beat Stefanos Tsitsipas
  • 2021 – Alexander Zverev beat Matteo Berrettini
  • 2022 – Carlos Alcaraz beat Alexander Zverev

With Alcaraz coming into this tournament having successfully defended a title for the first time in Barcelona, will we see the teen get into the swing of title defenses? Or is it finally time for a dark horse to win Madrid? Read on for our 2023 Madrid Open predictions.

2023 Men Madrid Masters Predictions

Enough details – what you really want is the nitty gritty. We’re going to put ourselves on the line here, go out on a limb, and deliver our ATP Madrid Masters 2023 predictions. For those who want to do some ATP online betting, here are our free tips for ATP Madrid Masters 2023:

Winner to Come from Top Half of the Draw @ 1.40 (2/5)

This is the safe, easy bet to make this week. In essence, a bet on the top half of the draw means you’re backing one of Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Zverev, Andrey Rublev, Casper Ruud, Lorenzo Musetti, or Holger Rune to win the Madrid Open 2023.

That’s a bet on the overwhelming favorite, as well as four of the next six favorites in the outright betting odds – plus a bunch of dark horses as well, just in case. Sure, it may not be the most lucrative bet. However, considering the skew of the odds ahead of Madrid, it’s the strongest wager for those who prefer betting a little more conservatively.

Carlos Alcaraz to Win Without Dropping Set @ 7.00 (6/1)

One of two things is going to happen in Madrid. Either Carlos Alcaraz continues powering along like a well-oiled tennis machine, or the wheels fall off because of the sheer quantity of balls the teen has been hitting. If the former happens, then rather than betting on Alcaraz to win at a low 1.80 (4/5), instead take him at 7.00 (6/1) to win without dropping a set.

Here’s why this is a good bet: the last two tournaments Alcaraz has won, he’s gone the entire event without dropping a set. That’s right, and he’s cleaned up the likes of Felix Auger-Aliassime, Daniil Medvedev, Jannik Sinner, and Stefanos Tsitsipas in Indian Wells and Barcelona without breaking a sweat. The math is simple, either Alcaraz is on, or he’s not.

And when Alcaraz is on, he’s ON.

ATP 2023 Madrid Open Betting Bonus

High Odds Predictions for the Madrid Masters 2023

For those who think Alcaraz may not be on this week, then here are your best high-return tennis Madrid Open 2023 betting tips men:

Casper Ruud to Win @ 21.00 (20/1)

The golden boy of 2022 hasn’t even come close to the podium in 2023. Last year, Casper Ruud made two Grand Slam finals, including the French Open on clay. This year, he’s 11-8 for the season and barely a shadow of himself. Logic says Ruud has got to rediscover himself soon. He’s the World No.4, is in the top five betting favorites, and showed such clay court prowess this time last year. What better time to unlock some form than in a field absent of Djokovic, Nadal, and Sinner?

Ruud has begun to show some glimmers of form, with a title in Estoril and solid wins over Botic van de Zandschulp and Ben Shelton recently. In his half are the likes of Holger Rune, Andrey Rublev, and Carlos Alcaraz, who are all coming off full weeks of tennis – could this be Ruud’s chance to get back in the winners’ circle? We hope so for the sake of tennis, and it’s worth a cheeky punt at 21.00 (20/1).

Wild Card to Reach Final @ 19.00 (18/1)

Speaking of players who have the potential to unlock past form, Dominic Thiem is the big dark horse in Madrid as a wild card. After winning the US Open, making the Roland Garros final twice, and largely looking to be the type of player that could consistently threaten the Big Three, Thiem suffered an injury and returned virtually unrecognizable. After a painful period of losing Thiem constantly, the Austrian is showing some promising signs.

Thiem having accrued five wins in the month of April may not seem like much. Considering he only had one victory to his name across all the rest of 2023, however, this is quickly appearing like a mini-renaissance. While Thiem likely doesn’t have the legs to win in Madrid, he is in the draw’s weaker half and could put together a finals run here.

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  • Winner to Come from Top Half of the Draw @ 1.40 (2/5)
  • Casper Ruud to Win @ 21.00 (20/1)

The road to Roland Garros continues this week, with the second clay-court Masters 1000 event kicking off in Madrid. In the absence of Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, and Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz is the overwhelming favorite to win on the Spanish clay. However, should the teen run out of gas, there are plenty of high-odds bets to be made – and we say it’s a good opportunity to bet on Casper Ruud rekindling last year’s form.

Content Writer

Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at BetZillion.

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