Eurovision 2023 Predictions & Betting Tips (Song Contest, May 9-13)
The hills are alive with the sound of music. In Europe, that is, for the next seven days. With the Eurovision Song Contest front and center this week, countries across the continent and beyond will be cheering their singers on as a winner is decided in Liverpool. Want to know who will win Eurovision 2023? Then you’re in the right place.
Key Info About the 2023 Eurovision
Last year’s Eurovision saw Ukraine storm to an emphatic victory – can they back that up again this year? Or will Sweden’s Loreen become only the second ever Eurovision contest to win the competition two times? We analyze all of the latest odds in this Eurovision 2023 betting preview, breaking down everything you need to know in order to place a lucrative bet.
|ℹ️ Tournament:||The Eurovision Song Contest 2023|
|🏟️ Venue:||Liverpool Arena, Liverpool, United Kingdom|
|🗓️ Dates:||Tuesday 9 May to Sunday 13 May|
Eurovision 2023 Odds
For those who are confident of their choice and simply want to bet on Eurovision, then here are the best odds available ahead of Tuesday’s first semifinal:
- Sweden to win @ 1.83 (5/6)
- Finland to win @ 2.87 (15/8)
- France to win @ 8.00 (7/1)
- Ukraine to win @ 11.00 (10/1)
- Spain/Norway to win @ 17.00 (16/1)
In the eyes of the bookies, the 2023 Eurovision is a two-horse race: Sweden and Finland. Sweden is the heavy favorite, with Loreen’s “Tattoo” paying 1.83 (5/6) to win outright. Not far behind is Finland, with Käärijä’s “Cha Cha Cha” sitting at a strong 2.87 (15/8) as well.
From here, the odds get much steeper. France is paying 8.00 (7/1) and is third in the betting favorites with La Zarra’s “Évidemment” while defending champion Ukraine is at 11.00 (10/1). Rounding out the top five in the Eurovision 2023 odds is Spain and Norway, who are tied at 17.00 (16/1).
Understanding the Eurovision Song Contest
It started as a small contest between seven countries in 1956 and has now expanded to one of the largest watched non-sports events in the year. So popular is the Eurovision Song Contest in Europe particularly, that often it is the highlight of the year for a host country, significantly boosting tourism.
Now, 52 countries have participated in Eurovision, with 69 songs composed by 139 different songwriters winning the top prize. Here’s a brief look at the format of the Eurovision 2023:
Eurovision 2023 Format and Structure
Participating countries submit one original live performance song to be part of the Eurovision Song Contest. These songs are then performed and broadcast live to all of the participating countries in two semi-final shows. The previous year’s winner, and the Big Five – Germany, Italy, Spain, France, and the United Kingdom – do not have to participate in the semi-finals and qualify directly for the Grand Final.
The top 10 songs from each semi-final are determined 50% by a public vote and 50% by a panel of music professionals known as the jury. The top 10 from each semi-final progress to the Grand Final, where 26 countries perform to determine a winner.
Last Five Winners of the Eurovision
- 2017 – Portugal with “Amar pelos dois”
- 2018 – Israel with “Toy”
- 2019 – Netherlands with “Arcade”
- 2021 – Italy with “Zitti e buoni”
- 2022 – Ukraine with “Stefania”
With Ukraine winning in 2022, can their song “Heart of Steel” by Tvorchi claim the prize again? Or will this year’s competition produce another winner? Read on for our full 2023 Eurovision betting preview.
2023 Eurovision Predictions
If you love a bit of special event betting, then we have the best picks for Eurovision 2023. With the 2023 Eurovision winner predicted, as well as plenty of other proposition bets, there’s something for everyone in these expert picks:
Sweden to Win @ 1.83 (5/6)
Sweden have put forward their superstar performer with one mission: win the Eurovision 2023. And there’s a very good chance that Loreen will do just that. A decade ago, the pop star won Eurovision 2012 for her country, and now she’s the heavy favorite to win with “Tattoo” next weekend.
With Sweden heading into 2023 as the favorite, it’s important to look at what has happened historically with betting favorites in Eurovision. Last year’s favorite at the bookies was Ukraine, and they won; in 2021, it was Italy, and they won; in 2019, the Netherlands, and they won. There’s a clear pattern here – the betting favorite ahead of Eurovision usually ends up winning. This is reason enough to wager on Sweden.
Ukraine Top Five Finish @ 2.37 (11/8)
Despite the compelling argument for Loreen taking home the 2023 Eurovision prize this year, there’s also merit in hedging your bet. “Tattoo” isn’t performing too well across the European charts outside of Sweden, indicating that perhaps this year’s contest isn’t so cut and dry.
A strong option would be to wager on the last year’s winners, as Ukrainian bookies strongly believe in their place in the top five in 2023. Ukraine has a proud history of punching above their weight and performing strongly at Eurovision, with three wins in the past two decades, including last year’s competition. This year’s song isn’t the typical type of song that wins Eurovision, so betting on Ukraine to win outright is a little risky.
However, there’s still plenty of pro-Ukraine sentiment across Europe and eight million Ukrainians abroad. Also, Eurovision voting is often linked to politics, and being under the military invasion from Russia, Ukraine is the country that should receive massive support this year too. As a result, there’s a good chance they’ll make the top five at least.
Croatia to Win @ 126.00 (125/1)
Not quite enough value for you in the two bets above? Well, there’s plenty of return if you back Croatia to win here. Bookies aren’t giving them much hope, with incredibly long odds of 126.00 (125/1). This is because they see Croatia’s anti-war song as a little too wacky to be contest-winning material. There’s no denying that the outrageous costumes employed in Mama ŠČ will be polarizing, but there’s a chance that will rally public support.
After all, the song does refer to Putin as a “little psychopath” and could become something of a cult classic if it gains some momentum in the public vote. It’s a long shot, but throw a cheeky $100 on Croatia to win, and you could be driving a new car next week.
Our Recommended Eurovision 2023 Betting Tips
- Sweden to Win @ 1.83 (5/6)
- Ukraine Top Five Finish @ 2.37 (11/8)
It’s that time of year again when Europe has its eyes glued to the screen to watch dozens of diverse performances play out. With Sweden the heavy favorite heading into the 2023 Eurovision, we say they’re the best bet – but consider throwing a bet on Ukraine to make a deep run at the Grand Final and Croatia to be a bit of a wild card too.