ATP 2023 Monte-Carlo Masters Predictions and Betting Odds (April 9-16)

2023 Monte-Carlo Masters Betting Tips & Predictions, 2023 ATP Tour

Tennis fans around the world will be rubbing their hands together in glee at the prospect of the next few months’ tennis. Finally, after plenty of false starts, it’s here: an era of tennis that is genuinely competitive beyond ‘the Big Three.’

ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2023: Tennis Event Details

As the season heads into the European clay court swing, and the road to Roland Garros, it’s anyone’s guess who will stand up over the next few months and make a name for themselves. Will we see Alcaraz continue to assert his dominance? Can Nadal bounce back from yet another injury? Is Djokovic returning strong? Or, a dark horse comes out of nowhere…

Being the first significant clay court tournament of the year, Monte-Carlo is a fascinating event. Who will gain the early momentum as we count down toward the French Open? World No.1 Novak Djokovic is back, and plenty of big names have withdrawn due to injury. Can the Serbian make a rare fast start to his clay court season, or will we see some of the in-form hard court players roll that momentum onto clay? We break all of this down in our ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2023 predictions below.

Tournament: 2023 ATP Monte-Carlo Masters, ATP Tour 1000
Venue: Monte-Carlo Country Club, Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, France
Date: Sunday 9 April to Sunday 16 April

2023 Monte-Carlo Master Tennis Odds

Looking at the 2023 Monte-Carlo Masters tennis odds, a lop-sided story is told by these men’s tennis betting odds:

  • Novak Djokovic @ 2.00 (1/1)
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 8.00 (7/1)
  • Jannik Sinner @ 11.00 (10/1)
  • Casper Ruud & Holger Rune @ 13.00 (12/1)
  • Daniil Medvedev @ 15.00 (14/1)

Towering head and shoulders above the rest of the competition is the GOAT of tennis: Novak Djokovic. With odds of 2.00 (1/1), Novak is four times more favored to win the Monte-Carlo Masters than any other player.

The next favorite is Stefanos Tsitispas on 8.00 (7/1) before a gaggle of other players comes in with higher odds, such as Jannik Sinner, Casper Ruud, Holger Rune, and Daniil Medvedev, who all are between 11.00 (10/1) and 15.00 (14/1) in the 2023 Monte-Carlo Masters tennis odds.

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Understanding the Men’s Monte Carlo Tennis Tournament

Monte-Carlo Masters is one of the older tennis tournaments on the ATP Tour, having been played since 1897. It typically is the first major event in the European clay court season and marks the start in earnest of the road to Roland Garros.

Several aspects make Monte-Carlo an interesting tournament historically. It is one of the only non-mandatory Masters events on tour, meaning that players are not penalized for skipping the event. This, plus its proximity to the grueling Sunshine Double, often means that big names will be absent due to injury or planned rest. As a result, it’s fertile ground for upsets and dark horses to thrive.

Last Five Winners

  • 2017 – Rafael Nadal beat Albert Ramos Vinolas
  • 2018 – Rafael Nadal beat Kei Nishikori
  • 2019 – Fabio Fognini beat Dusan Lajovic
  • 2021 – Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Andrey Rublev
  • 2022 – Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

With Rafael Nadal having dominated in Monte-Carlo historically and Stefanos Tsitsipas looking to pick up that mantle in recent years, will this trend continue in 2023? Or will we see yet another bolter make a deep run through the field?

2023 Men Monte-Carlo Masters Predictions

You’ve heard all of the contexts, and now it’s time for our ATP tennis Monte-Carlo 2023 betting tips. We’ve studied the data, and here are our top 2023 Men Monte-Carlo Masters predictions:

Novak Djokovic to Win @ 2.00 (1/1)

This is a fascinating bet. Novak Djokovic has won in Monte-Carlo twice; however, in recent years, he has also struggled here. There’s something about the Serb’s cardio fitness that seems to take a few weeks to adjust to the clay court style of play, and as a result, he has suffered several early exits in Monte-Carlo since 2016.

However, Djokovic has not had his typical run in the Monte-Carlo, given that he did not play the Sunshine Double. Perhaps he will have taken a different approach, and we’ll see a faster start on clay this season. What we’ve seen of the World No.1 this year certainly has been impressive – he has a 15-1 record, winning Adelaide and the Australian Open. In a weakened field that has no Nadal or Alcaraz, plus an injured Tsitsipas, it’s hard to bet against the Serb.

Winner to Come From Top Quarter @ 1.72 (8/11)

A similar bet that builds a little additional safety into it is to wager on the winner coming from the Monte-Carlo draw’s top quarter. This is the quarter that has Novak Djokovic, as well as third favorite Jannik Sinner. Sinner has been playing excellent tennis, making the semi-finals of Indian Wells and the final of Miami, and has the kind of powerful baseline game that can be well adapted to clay.

Add in a few bolters such as Jack Draper, Lorenzo Musetti, and Sebastian Baez. The top quarter looks like an attractive betting option, even if Djokovic defaults to his old ways of faltering early in Monte-Carlo.

High Odds Predictions for the Monte-Carlo Masters 2023

For those who are looking to make money through legal US bookmakers, but don’t have the patience to chip away with small odds bets, then we have some excellent high-odds free tips for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2023.

Daniil Medvedev to Win @ 15.00 (14/1)

Russia’s Daniil Medvedev is one of the most vocal players on tour about his dislike of clay. The former World No.1 and current World No.4 has 19 titles to his name, yet none on clay. His style of play simply struggles on the surface, as the slow, high bounce nullifies the pace of his shots.

However, Medvedev is in hot form this year. He’s 29-3 since January and has already collected four titles, including last week at the Miami Masters. It seems as though Medvedev has come to a place in his career where he’s playing with more confidence and has less to prove. Could this increased freedom allow him to play his natural style in a way that succeeds on clay? It’s a long shot, given his track record, but if ever there was a time for the 27-year-old to pick up a clay title, it’s here and now.

Ben Shelton to Reach Final @ 151.00 (150/1)

Historically, Monte Carlo has been a breakthrough tournament for lower-ranked players. Just think of some of these finalists over the past five years: Fabio Fognini, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Dusan Lajovic, Kei Nishikori, and Albert Ramos Vinolas. The combination of big names being absent, or adjusting their games to clay still, or fatigued from deep runs at the Sunshine Double often opens up opportunities for dark horses to go deep in Monte-Carlo.

We say Ben Shelton has a good shot at being that dark horse this year. This is only his second clay court tournament and first full year on tour, but already he’s at No.39 in the world. He’s made the Australian Open quarterfinals this year and has plenty of weapons that could well fire on clay. With odds of 151.00 (150/1) to simply make the final, this is an excellent way of making those big returns.

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  • Novak Djokovic to Win @ 2.00 (1/1)
  • Winner to Come From Top Quarter @ 1.72 (8/11)

An excellent week of tennis awaits, with the clay court season well and truly kicking off this Sunday in Monte-Carlo. Novak Djokovic returns for the first time since the Australian Open, while the likes of Alcaraz and Nadal are absent. Will the Serbian return straight to his winning ways, or will a dark horse emerge from the shadows? Tune in this week to find out.

Content Writer

Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at BetZillion.

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