PSG vs Real Madrid (2021/22 UEFA Champions League Round of 16, February 15) Betting Tips & Predictions
The Champions League elimination stage starts with an exciting clash between Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain. We’re here to provide you with the best betting picks for the bout, with top odds courtesy of the best Champions League sportsbooks.
But will PSG deliver on their home soil, or will the 13-time UEFA Champions League champions steal a crucial win in France? Let’s find out what our football expert says about the upcoming football spectacle and which PSG vs Real Madrid betting tips we have ready for you!
PSG vs Real Madrid Predictions & Odds
The PSG vs Real Madrid betting odds shows the French club as 10/11 favourites for their first-leg 2022 UEFA Champions League 1/8 final bout. That makes sense for many reasons, but primarily because the game will happen at Parc des Princes, the home of Paris Saint-Germain FC. But can the hosts deliver to the expectations and defeat the visitors?
Real Madrid +0.5 (10/11)
Paris Saint-Germain FC and Real Madrid are the 2 main contenders to win the UEFA Champions League, and it’s fair to say that whoever comes out ahead is bound for a deep run. The French squad should be favoured, so we have no issues seeing the bookmakers pricing the hosts at only 10/11, albeit we would not count out Real Madrid just yet.
PSG entered this bout following a narrow 1-0 win against Rennes on Friday when they produced a rather underwhelming showing. Admittedly, the current Ligue 1 leaders have preserved their energy in preparations for this bout, though we expected more from them. Most notably, PSG managed only one shot on goal throughout the entire match.
Real Madrid is not in a much better spot results-wise, seeing how they played a goalless draw against Villarreal on Saturday. Still, we’re more concerned about PSG and their weaknesses.
Paris Saint-Germain FC has been struggling against teams who defend deeply, which could be a problem on Tuesday, seeing how they will face a squad with one of the best European defenders.
Even though the hosts have enough firepower to look threatening, we wouldn’t count on PSG to be too dangerous for Real Madrid. We’re happy to take the visitors with a +0.5 goal handicap for our first PSG vs Real Madrid prediction.
Under 2.5 Goals (6/5)
As already alluded to, we don’t expect many goals on Tuesday. That’s not only because of the stylistic matchup but also because Mauricio Pochettino and Carlo Ancelotti won’t want to risk too much – which is usually the case for these first-leg matches.
Both teams will want to win and set themselves in a better position ahead of the rematch, but both clubs know that losing by more than one goal will put them in a highly problematic spot. There isn’t much to analyze here – the stylistic matchup + the risk-averse approach are 2 big reasons why there’s a good chance this bout doesn’t go over 2 goals.
Admittedly, the head-to-head record between these 2 sides shows at least 3 goals in all their last 5 meetings. Still, their previous clash happened in 2019, so those figures are to be taken with a grain of salt.
Halftime Result – Draw (11/8)
This prediction works from what we’ve mentioned above and combines that with the available stats. PSG has been leading at halftime in 60% of their games throughout this season, albeit we must consider that they’ve been facing much weaker teams than Real Madrid.
Furthermore, Real Madrid entered the second half tied in 50% of their games this season and led in the first half by just 30%. It further confirms Real Madrid needs some time to ramp up, so there’s some value in backing a draw at halftime at 11/8.
Paris Saint-Germain FC: Confidence Is High
Paris Saint-Germain FC barely made it past Rennes in their last Ligue 1 match, thanks to Kylian Mbappé’s stoppage-time goal, who kept his side atop the league standings, 16 points clear of Marseille.
Sporting a 7-2-1 record across their last 10 outings and only one loss across their last 14, PSG should feel confident about their chances to win the UEFA Champions League title. But looking good in the domestic league and doing the same on the international stage are 2 entirely different things.
We saw PSG play one of the club’s best games of the season just a week back when they trashed Lille (5-1) on the road when it seemed like PSG unleashed their frustrations after losing against Nice in the league cup a week prior.
But as mentioned, beating Nice and facing Real Madrid are 2 entirely different things, and PSG will need to step up if they wish to deliver. Still, the French side has been very effective when playing at home this season and is currently the only undefeated Ligue 1 team as hosts.
With an 11-1-0 home record and a 28-6 goal difference, PSG has proven that the Parc des Princes is a fortress; no team has managed to break through yet this term. We saw them score twice or more in 7 of their last 10 home games, although PSG has managed only one goal in their last 2 home fixtures.
Last 5 Games
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 1-0 Rennes
- Lille 1-5 Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 0-1 Nice
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 4-0 Reims
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 2-0 Brest
Real Madrid: Benzema-less
Real Madrid is the current La Liga leader with a 16-6-2 record and 54 points, which sits them just 4 points above Sevilla in second, 14 clear of Betis in third. Across their last 5 league games, Real Madrid has managed a somewhat iffy record of 2-2-1, including draws against Villarreal (0-0) and Elche (2-2), 2 wins against Granada FC (1-0) and Valencia (4-1), and a defeat against Getafe (0-1), at the start of January 2022.
Real Madrid’s recent showings haven’t been convincing, and it’s fair to say that Los Blancos have been getting away with a few underserved victories throughout the season. However, even in games where Real Madrid did not play well, they still won.
On a more negative side, Real Madrid has managed only one win in their last 4 outings across all competitions – Villarreal (0-0), Granada FC (1-0), Ath Bilbao (0-1), Elche (2-2).
The primary reason for Real Madrid’s lack of success was their poor performance in the attack, where Real is missing Karim Benzema while Ancelotti doesn’t have a player who can fill that gap. Instead, Real Madrid started to play a more defensive style of football, forming a tight block ahead of the box and attacking the opponents from counter-attacks.
Real’s stats further confirms that the team is struggling offensively. Los Blancos have not scored more than a goal across their last 3 outings, 2 of which Real Madrid ended without a goal.
Last 5 Games
- Villarreal 0-0 Real Madrid
- Real Madrid 1-0 Granada CF
- Ath Bilbao 1-0 Real Madrid
- Real Madrid 2-2 Elche
- Elche 1-2 Real Madrid
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
- Real Madrid 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain FC (26.11.2019)
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 3-0 Real Madrid (18.9.2019)
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 1-2 Real Madrid (6.3.2018)
- Real Madrid 3-1 Paris Saint-Germain FC (14.2.2018)
- Real Madrid 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain FC (28.7.2016)
As revealed by Paris Saint-Germain FC, Sergio Ramos will not play against his former team due to a calf injury. Ander Herrera, Alexandre Letellier, and Edouard Michut are out too. Meanwhile, Neymar picked up an ankle injury a while back and won’t be able to face off against his former rival club.
On the side of Real Madrid, Benzema is the only absence. Still, even though the Spanish club is missing only one player, they’re without a key man whose absence will be felt.
Time and Date of the Event
Paris Saint-Germain FC and Real Madrid will lock horns on Tuesday, February 15, at 21:00 local time (CET), at Parc des Princes in Paris, France. As one of the biggest and most important football matches of the month, you can rest assured that the fixture will be broadcasted on all sporting TV channels and on all sports streaming platforms.
So you can follow the action via a TV or a live stream. Alternatively, you can even follow the action via a bookmaker’s live stream, which will be available on all bookies where you can place an in-play bet. And many bookmakers are currently offering bonuses, promotions, and even a free bet on the game, so make sure to visit the best football bookies and take advantage of the freebies!
PSG vs Real Madrid – Bonus Prediction
No betting preview is complete without a longshot pick, so for our final PSG vs Real Madrid prediction, we’re taking a small position on a 0-0 correct score market. Admittedly, both teams can score goals, but they can also defend their nets.
UEFA Champions League bookmakers are offering odds of 14/1 on the game ending without a goal, which is a bit too generous in our book and worth a small punt.
Prediction: 0-0 (Correct Score) – 14/1
Our PSG vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
- Real Madrid +0.5 – 10/11
- Under 2.5 Goals – 6/5
- Halftime Result – Draw -11/8
- Correct Score (0-0) – 14/1
With that, we conclude our free betting preview, providing you with four excellent PSG vs Real Madrid predictions and tips to follow. Make sure to place your bets at the best football bookmakers so you get your hands on the best odds!