AC Milan vs Inter Milan Betting Odds, Predictions & Winning Tips (UEFA Champions League 2022/23, May 10)
Two historic Italian teams clash in the semi-finals of the UEFA Champions after a long absence from this stage of the competition. One of the Milan teams is guaranteed to be playing in the final, which is set to be played at Istanbul’s Atatürk Olympic Stadium. Can Simone Inzaghi’s team grab a third consecutive win against their city rivals, or will AC Milan end their losing streak against Inter Milan?
Milan vs Inter (2022/23 Champions League Playoffs) Key Info
AC Milan put behind their struggles in the league to beat Lazio 2-0, retaining their place among the top five teams in Serie A. The Rossoneri’s title defense hasn’t gone well, but they can make it to the UEFA Champions League next season if they win the trophy next month.
Inter Milan extended their winning streak to five games in a row with the win over Roma, and they are well-motivated for this clash. After the league win in 2021, the Nerrazurri couldn’t retain the scudetto, but they are just 180 minutes away from the UEFA Champions League final.
|ℹ️ Tournament:||UEFA Champions League 2022-23 Playoffs, Semi-final (1st Leg)|
|🏟️ Venue:||San Siro, Milano, Italy|
|🗓️ Date:||10 May 2023|
|⏰ Time:||7:00 p.m. GMT on Wednesday|
Derby Della Madonnina Betting Preview and Stats
Milan vs Inter Odds
AC Milan has beaten Inter Milan here, but they are tagged as the underdogs to win at 3.20 (11/5), while the odds for a Nerazzurri win are valued at 2.60 (8/5). There has been one draw in the last five Derby Della Madonnina, and the bookmakers are offering 3.25 (9/4) on that outcome.
For the Champions League playoffs odds, Inter Milan is still the favorite to go through at 1.67 (4/6), while AC Milan’s odds for a UEFA Champions League final appearance are set at 2.05 (21/20).
From the start of the group stages, AC Milan was projected to reach the knockouts in a group with Chelsea, RB Salzburg, and Dinamo Zagreb. They won three out of six games in the group stage, finishing in second position behind Chelsea. AC Milan faced Tottenham Hotspur in the round of 16 where they scaled through on a 1-0 aggregate win. The Rossoneri knocked out Napoli in the quarterfinals with a pretty reliable performance, and they have lost just twice in the entire competition.
FC Internazionale Milano
Inter Milan had a tougher challenge in the Champions League group stage as they had to face FC Barcelona and Bayern Munich. Despite the tough fixtures, the Nerazzurri finished second in the group with 10 points from six matches, and they are the only team from Group C left in this competition. Inter Milan also has two losses from ten games in the UEFA Champions League this season, and both defeats were against Bayern Munich in the group stage.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan H2H
There have been three meetings between Inter Milan and AC Milan this season, two in the Serie A and one in the Italian Super Cup final. AC Milan’s win came at home, and they would be looking for a similar result on Wednesday.
- Inter 1-0 Milan (5 February 2023)
- Milan 0-3 Inter (18 January 2023)
- Milan 3-2 Inter (3 September 2022)
- Inter 3-0 Milan (19 April 2022)
- Milan 0-0 Inter (1 March 2022)
Last Five Games
AC Milan: WDDWD
Inter Milan: WWWWW
Milan vs Inter Predictions
Inter Milan to Win or Draw @ 1.44 (4/9)
Inter Milan is playing their best football of the season, and it comes at a very important time for Simone Inzaghi’s team. They have won their last five matches in all competitions, scoring 15 goals and conceding just once, with both Lukaku and Martinez to be in great shape. A great part of Inter Milan’s streak is that most of those wins were against top teams like Juventus, Lazio, and Roma.
Their rivals, AC Milan, struggle a lot in the last weeks, having victories only in two of their last five matches, and the Nerazzurri can take an advantage in the first leg. AC Milan has already lost a knockout game to Inter Milan this season in a 3-0 defeat in the Super Cup, and they have only one win in five Derby Della Madonnina games.
Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 1.91 (10/11)
Both teams displayed great attacking performances in the last round to reach the semi-finals, and with the tie very much open, they would come out blazing to take advantage. AC Milan has scored in six consecutive games, and they conceded in four of those games. Inter Milan is averaging three goals per game in their last five matches, and their last Champions League game ended in a 3-3 draw against Benfica. Backing both teams to get on the score sheet is a very valuable option in this fixture.
Total Shots – Lautaro Martinez – Over 2.5 @ 1.62 (8/13)
Lautaro Martinez is the player with the most shots per game for Inter Milan this season, and he was given a rest for this clash which means he should start against AC Milan. The Argentine striker is averaging 3.5 shots per game, and he has had three or more shots in his last two games against the Rossoneri this season. A bet on Lautaro Martinez to take at least three shots in this derby has very good value on European football odds betting.
Milan vs Internazionale Team News
Stefano Pioli has a complete team available for the Derby Della Madonnina with a wealth of options on the bench. AC Milan has often lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation this season with Olivier Giroud up top. Rafael Leao suffered a scare in the game against Lazio, but he is expected to start on Wednesday.
Robin Gosens and Danilo D’Ambrosio are not back on the team sheet for Inter Milan as they are ruled out through injuries. Milan Skriniar’s involvement is also in doubt as he nurses a back injury, while Romelu Lukaku would be gunning for another start after his goal against AS Roma.
Recommended Milan vs Inter Betting Picks
- Inter Milan to Win or Draw @ 1.44 (4/9)
- Total Shots – Lautaro Martinez – Over 2.5 @ 1.62 (8/13)
The Derby Della Madonnina features in the UEFA Champions League this midweek, and there are great offers from the Italian bookies in this game. You can make extra cash from this match by using our expert betting tips and predictions.