Inter vs Milan Betting Odds, Predictions & Winning Tips (UEFA Champions League 2022/23, May 16)
The Nerrazurri were triumphant against their city rivals last week in the first leg of this semi-final, and they would be looking to complete the job in front of their home fans. AC Milan is left with a tough game here, as they are two goals down in this tie. The Rossoneri hasn’t beaten Inter Milan away from home by a two-goal margin in over a decade, and they would need their best performance to overturn this deficit.
Inter vs Milan (2022/23 Champions League Playoffs) Key Info
Romelu Lukaku’s brace against Sassuolo was key to another win for Inter Milan, who has now won their last seven games in all competitions. The Nerazzurri are third in the league, and with the team on a great run, they are favorites to finish in the top four this season.
AC Milan suffered another huge blow in their chase for Champions League football next season after their 2-0 defeat away to Spezia. The Italian Champions have won just one of their last five games, and they are fifth in the league, four points away from the Champions League spots.
|ℹ️ Tournament:||UEFA Champions League 2022-23 Playoffs, Semi-final (2nd Leg)|
|🏟️ Venue:||Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Italy|
|🗓️ Date:||16 May 2023|
|⏰ Time:||7:00 p.m. GMT on Tuesday|
Derby Della Madonnina Betting Preview and Statistics
Inter vs Milan Odds
Despite an easy win last week and AC Milan’s recent troubles, Inter Milan still has very valuable odds on UCL football betting sites. A win in normal time for Simone Inzaghi’s team is worth 2.15 (23/20), while AC Milan’s odds for a win are pegged at 3.75 (11/4). The odds for a draw are valued at 3.40 (12/5).
Inter Milan was the favorite to qualify even before the first leg, and after their 2-0 win last week, their odds of qualifying have been reduced to 1.05 (1/19). AC Milan must win by at least two goals to give themselves a chance of reaching the finals, and their odds of qualifying are valued at 12.00 (11/1).
FC Internazionale Milano
Inter Milan was in the ‘group of death’ with FC Barcelona and Bayern Munich, but they scaled through with 10 points from six matches. Since making it to the knockouts, the Nerazzurri has not lost a game either at home or away. Inter Milan has won three of their last five games in the UEFA Champions League, and they have only lost to Bayern Munich this season.
AC Milan has already lost one trophy to Inter Milan, and they are on the verge of elimination from the UEFA Champions League. The Rossoneri also finished with 10 points in the group stage, but they did so in a much easier group. AC Milan made a huge statement in the previous round, beating Napoli 2-1 on aggregate to reach the semifinals.
Inter vs Milan H2H
Inter Milan has won the last three meetings against AC Milan, scoring six goals and keeping clean sheets in all three games. Simone Inzaghi’s team raced to a two-goal lead in the last clash, and they are back at home with the advantage.
- Milan 0-2 Inter (10 May 2023)
- Inter 1-0 Milan (5 February 2023)
- Milan 0-3 Inter (18 January 2023)
- Milan 3-2 Inter (3 September 2022)
- Inter 3-0 Milan (19 April 2022)
Last Five Games
Inter vs Milan Predictions
Total Goals – Under 2.5 @ 1.73 (8/11)
AC Milan struggled once again in front of goal, and they are one of the lowest-scoring teams remaining in this competition. With the loss of Rafael Leao, the Rossoneri has seen their chances’ creation reduce drastically, and they failed to trouble Inter Milan in the first leg. All five of AC Milan’s games in the knockout stages have ended with two goals or less.
Apart from the 3-3 draw at home to Benfica, Inter Milan hasn’t scored a lot of goals in the knockouts, and 80% of their elimination matches have ended with not more than two goals. Simone Inzaghi is likely to sit back here as he did against FC Porto, and this should lead to a low-scoring game as AC Milan is struggling in attack. Backing the Under 2.5 goals option has good value on Champions League betting sites.
Away Team – Under 1.0 Goals @ 1.65 (4/6)
Much of AC Milan’s troubles are away from home. In nine out of their last ten away games, they have failed to score more than a goal, drawing blanks in four of those games. Inter Milan is in great form defensively, and they have kept five clean sheets in their last seven matches, conceding only three goals. This is the fourth time AC Milan and Inter Milan are meeting this season, and the Rossoneri failed to score in three of those games. A bet on AC Milan not scoring and backing their potential goal looks like a very safe option with good value.
Romelu Lukaku To Score Anytime @ 3.00 (2/1)
After missing a good number of games this season, Romelu Lukaku is back to full fitness, and he has scored three goals in his last two starts for Inter Milan. Simone Inzaghi is likely to hand him a second consecutive start in the XI, and the Belgian striker is in good form to find the back of the net. Romelu is a big player for Inter Milan in these games, and he is also the penalty taker, which makes Lukaku odds of scoring pretty attractive.
Internazionale vs Milan Team News
With the exception of Milan Skriniar, the Nerazzurri has a complete team, and Edin Dzeko is expected to be back in the starting XI after he was given a rest last Sunday. Inter Milan is set to line up in their usual 3-5-2, and they have all their wingbacks available, which means there would be no changes to the team that started the first leg.
Rafael Leao races against time to be fit for this game. Other AC Milan players that are doubtful for this clash include Ismael Bennacer, Rade Krunic, and Junior Messias. In the absence of Rafael Leao, Stefano Pioli played Ismael Bennacer in a more advanced role.
Recommended Inter vs Milan Betting Picks
- Total Goals – Under 2.5 @ 1.73 (8/11)
- Away Team – Under 1.0 Goals @ 1.65 (4/6)
The fourth Derby Della Madonnina this season features both Milan teams in the semi-finals of the Champions League. There are great offers in this game from the bookies, and you can make extra profit from this match by using our expert UCL betting tips and predictions. You can also grab up to €100 welcome bonus and receive even more joy from watching this UCL clash.