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Canelo Alvarez Vs. Jermell Charlo Betting Picks & Preview (Super Middleweight, September 30)

Boxing Canelo vs. Charlo Betting Tips & Predictions

Canelo Alvarez’s undisputed super middleweight status and four belts will be on the line on Saturday as he faces Jermell Charlo in Las Vegas this weekend. Jermell Charlo has big shoes to fill in should he beat the Mexican boxer, and this is the first fight between the pair. Canelo Alvarez is the more experienced boxer heading into this fight, but the Iron Man wouldn’t be so easy to beat, and there could be another upset in a historic year of boxing fights.

Canelo vs Charlo: Event Details & Preview

The fight takes place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and there are other notable bouts in this fight card, like the Yordenis Ugas versus Mario Barrios. Frank Sanchez and Scott Alexander would also be competing under this fight card in the heavyweight division. Showtime’s pay-per-view for this bout goes for $84.99 and for a reason.

ℹ️ Weight Class/Division: Super Middleweight, WBA, IBF, WBO, IBO belts (12 rounds)
🏟️ Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
🗓️ Date: 30 September 2023
⏰ Time: from 11:00 p.m. EST on Saturday

Latest Alvarez vs Charlo Odds

Canelo Alvarez is the favorite according to the boxing bookies in the USA. A win for the Mexican professional boxer is worth 1.29 (2/7), while Jermell Charlo is tagged as an underdog to win at 4.20 (16/5). The odds for a draw are the highest, with the bookies offering 19.00 (18/1), and by the way, Jermell Charlo’s first bout with Brian Castano ended in a tie.

Canelo Alvarez to win
Best odds:
1.29 (2/7)
4.0
100% up to $600
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4.1
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4.9
Draw
Best odds:
19.00 (18/1)
4.0
100% up to $600
T&Cs Apply
4.1
Cash Rebate Bonus: Enjoy up to 25% Cash
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4.9
Jermell Charlo to win
Best odds:
4.20 (16/5)
4.0
100% up to $600
T&Cs Apply
4.1
Cash Rebate Bonus: Enjoy up to 25% Cash
T&Cs Apply
4.9

Many had expected Canelo Alvarez to defend his super middleweight title against the bigger boys, but he will be in the ring against Jermell Charlo, who is the undisputed light middleweight champion. Both fighters are aged 33, but the ‘Cinnamon’ has a longer history of boxing behind him than Jermell Charlo.

Canelo Alvarez’s Current Form

Floyd Mayweather and Dmitry Bivol are the only professional boxers to have beaten Canelo Alvarez. The defeat to the latter was his most recent loss, but it was only the second light-heavyweight attempt by the Mexican. The ‘Cinnamon’ has four wins and one defeat from his last five bouts, and he is looking to make it three wins in a row on Saturday. Canelo Alvarez won his 59th career fight after beating John Ryder by unanimous decision a few months ago.

Canelo’s Advantages Over Charlo

Canelo Alvarez has very quick hands and an incredibly effective punching power, which makes him a very tough opponent to beat. He doesn’t have a good reach like Jermell Charlo, but he is very good at delivering quick counter shots. Most importantly, the Cinnamon is more experienced than the Iron Man, in this weight class especially, which is making a huge leap here.

Jermell Charlo’s Current Form

Jermell Charlo has not lost in his last five bouts, and he comes into this fight on the back of a win over Brian Castano at the Dignity Health Sports Park in California. His only loss in his boxing career was against Tony Harrison six fights ago, where he lost in the 12th round by unanimous decision. Jermell Charlo has four wins from his last five fights, and he would be eyeing his first win this year after being inactive since May 2022.

Charlo’s Advantages Over Alvarez

Jermell Charlo has a better reach than Canelo Alvarez, with a 6cm advantage over the ‘Cinnamon,’ and he would be banking on this to beat the Mexican. Apart from having a better reach, Jermell Charlo has a very good defense and is very good at close-quarter exchanges. The Iron Man is more explosive and is also more athletic than Canelo Alvarez.

Best Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo Predictions

Canelo Alvarez To Win By Decision @ 1.80 (4/5)

Event Prediction
Canelo Alvarez To Win By Decision
Best odds:
1.80 (4/5)
Agree with prediction?
(2 voted)

2 (100%)

0

In a perfect world, Canelo Alvarez should be fighting a bigger opponent in the super middleweight division, but he is up against Jermell Charlo, who is a much easier opponent to beat compared to what he would’ve gotten. Canelo Alvarez is the first boxer to become the undisputed champion of the super middleweight, and he is expected to retain his title.

Despite being the clear favorite here, this bout wouldn’t be all rosy for the Mexican professional boxer as his last three fight wins were all by unanimous decision. Jermell Charlo can stay in this fight, but he is quite rusty, and it is very unlikely that he’d beat the ‘Cinnamon.’ The boxing betting odds on Canelo Alvarez to win by decision are valuable and the best option in this bout.

Fight To Go The Distance – Yes @ 1.50 (1/2)

Event Prediction
Fight To Go The Distance - Yes
Best odds:
1.50 (1/2)
Agree with prediction?
(2 voted)

2 (100%)

0

Canelo Alvarez has had trouble putting out his opponents very early in the fight, and his last three bouts have all gone the distance. He’s faced boxers that aren’t so different from Jermell Charlo, and with so much at stake in this fight, we could see the 12th round once again. The Iron Man showed great strength to take Tony Harrison to the 12th round in New York despite losing the WBC light middleweight title, and he has the endurance to keep up against Canelo Alvarez.

Fight To Be Won In An Even Numbered Round @ 5.00 (4/1)

Risky Bet
Fight To Be Won In An Even Numbered Round
Best odds:
5.00 (4/1)
Agree with prediction?
(2 voted)

1 (50%)

(50%) 1

Jermell Charlo’s last three fights have ended in the eighth, tenth, and 12th rounds, respectively, and just two of his last seven fights finished in an odd-numbered round. Canelo Alvarez also has similar statistics with his last three fights won or lost in an even-numbered round. This is a very valuable option available on boxing sites for punters looking to bet on special offers in the fight between the Iron Man and his Mexican opponent.

Canelo Alvarez To Win By Decision
Best odds:
1.80 (4/5)
4.0
100% up to $600
T&Cs Apply
4.1
Cash Rebate Bonus: Enjoy up to 25% Cash
T&Cs Apply
4.9
Fight To Be Won In An Even Numbered Round
Best odds:
5.00 (4/1)
4.0
100% up to $600
T&Cs Apply
4.1
Cash Rebate Bonus: Enjoy up to 25% Cash
T&Cs Apply
4.9

Jermell Charlo is making a huge leap in the super middleweight fight against Canelo Alvarez, and there are exciting offers on the cards. You can make extra cash from this fight by using our expert betting tips and predictions while placing a bet on your favorite legal sportsbook.

Austin
Author
Content Writer

Austin is an avid Barcelona fan with a great interest in sports and sports medicine. He has a wealth of experience in the sports betting industry and has been featured on football quizzes.

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