Runaway for Roglic? Vuelta 2024 Outright Odds & Betting Predictions (August 17 – September 8)

Key Info About the 2024 La Vuelta

Part of the 2024 UCI World Tour, Vuelta a España 2024, will take place from August 17 to September 8. Similar to the Giro and the Tour de France, the Vuelta is a demanding 21-stage race stretched across three weeks. While the leader’s jersey has changed colors over the years, it has been red since 2010, and that’s the color that will be coveted over the next three weeks.

Before we unveil our 2024 Vuelta predictions, check out these key race details:

2024 Vuelta Odds & Favorites

The Vuelta a España is only days away, and the excitement is at an all-time high. Before the race begins, let’s break down the contenders and make some predictions. To help us, we’ll look at the latest Vuelta a España odds 2024 from legal betting sites in Spain and other countries.

Primoz Roglic

Best odds:

2.88 (15/8)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Adam Yates

Best odds:

7.00 (6/1)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Sepp Kuss

Best odds:

7.00 (6/1)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Joao Almeida

Best odds:

7.50 (13/2)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Enric Mas Nicolau

Best odds:

8.00 (7/1)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Primoz Roglic @ 2.88 (15/8)

As per most 2024 Vuelta predictions, Primoz Roglic is the overwhelming favorite to win his fourth Vuelta a España and cement his legacy as the most successful cyclist in the tournament’s history. That said, a question mark still hangs over his participation in Spain. The severity of his Tour de France crash, initially underestimated, continues to challenge his recovery.

Adam Yates @ 7.00 (6/1)

With Juan Ayuso out of the picture, Adam Yates will lead a formidable Team UAE squad in Spain. If you are looking to bet on Spanish Vuelta 2024, the British rider could be a sensible pick. He won the Tour de Suisse and the Tour of Oman earlier this year, so he will not be short of confidence ahead of this race.

Sepp Kuss @ 7.00 (6/1)

Defending champion Sepp Kuss is another popular Vuelta Spain 2024 betting tips recommendation. Kuss has roared back from a tough start to the season, including a Covid setback before the Tour. His recent victory at the Vuelta a Burgos is a powerful statement of intent as he looks to defend his Spanish title.

Joao Almeida @ 7.50 (13/2)

Joao Almeida will return to the Vuelta a España tracks for the third time this year. He finished an uninspiring ninth last time but managed to break into the top four the year before. The Portuguese will look to make his home advantage count in the early stages.

Enric Mas Nicolau @ 8.00 (7/1)

Sports betting live streaming sites are showing strong faith in Enric Mas Nicolau. The Movistar rider has two Vuelta runner-up finishes in his belt, and this time, he will look to do one better at his homeland event.

Understanding the Spanish Bicycle Race

The Vuelta a España, Spain’s grand cycling spectacle, pedals its way across the Iberian Peninsula each year, often venturing into neighboring lands. Born from the shadow of the Tour de France and Giro d’Italia, this epic race first took place in 1935.

The Vuelta, once a modest Spanish affair, blossomed into a global phenomenon as its journey grew longer. Unipublic held the reins from 1979 until 2014, when the Amaury Sport Organisation also became part of the organizing team. Since then, these two organizations have collaborated to keep the race alive.

Although the Vuelta’s route varies annually, the core elements remain consistent. Expect at least two-time trials, a challenging mountain stage through either the Pyrenees or the Cantabrian Mountains, and a grand finale in Madrid.

La Vuelta 2024 Schedule and Stages

The 2024 Vuelta a España follows the Tour de France’s lead by starting in a neighboring country, Lisbon, Portugal. The race kicks off with a relatively gentle 12 km time trial, a brief respite before the climbing onslaught.

This year’s Vuelta is a mountain lover’s dream, with a staggering nine summit finishes. While the iconic Angliru and Pyrenees are absent, the brutally steep Cuitu Negru and legendary Lagos de Covadonga await riders in the latter stages.

The drama continues to unfold as the riders confront their ultimate mountain test on the penultimate day, culminating with the brutal ascent of Picón Blanco. From the lofty heights of Burgos, the 2024 Vuelta concludes with a high-speed showdown, a 22 km time trial against the clock in the heart of Madrid.

The race spans 21 stages over 23 days, with two rest days built in.

Last Five Winners of the Vuelta a España

• 2023 – Sepp Kuss of Team Jumbo–Visma
• 2022 – Remco Evenepoel of Quick-Step Alpha Vinyl Team
• 2021 – Primoz Roglic of Team Jumbo-Visma
• 2020 – Primoz Roglic of Team Jumbo-Visma
• 2019 – Primoz Roglic of Team Jumbo-Visma

Primoz Roglic won an unprecedented hat-trick of Vuelta a España titles between 2019 and 2021. The Slovenian needs one more victory to match Roberto Heras’ haul of four Vuelta a España trophies. Sepp Kuss, another Team Jumbo-Visma cyclist, won the race last year and became the sixth American rider to claim the Vuelta a España crown.

Vuelta 2024 Predictions

The Vuelta a España 2024 presents a golden opportunity for those who love betting on cycling after the Olympics to make some quick cash. We have gone through the best Vuelta a España odds 2024 and come up with the following expert picks:

Sepp Kuss to Win Outright @ 7.00 (6/1)

With riders like Pogacar and Ayuso sidelined and Roglic’s participation uncertain, the Vuelta a España 2024 is set for a wide-open battle. Reigning champion Sepp Kuss is in a prime position to capitalize on this opportunity and successfully defend his title.

Backing Kuss to hoist the trophy in Madrid again might not be one of the safest Vuelta Spain 2024 betting tips to follow, considering he had a long Covid-induced absence from the competition. In plain sight, we are rooting for him solely because of his defending champion status and some recent flash of brilliance.

What makes us confident is the fact that Kuss benefits from a clearer path to victory this year, compared to the internal complexities that hindered his team last Vuelta. His commanding 2024 Burgos win serves as a stark reminder of his climbing prowess when he is at the top of his game.

High Odds Pick: Richard Carapaz @ 26.00 (25/1)

Richard Carapaz, who aced the mountains in the Tour de France, is a formidable contender for the Vuelta. The Ecuadorian climber has been knocking on the door of Grand Tour glory for years, but misfortune has repeatedly derailed his ambitions.

A broken kneecap at last year’s Tour and a severe crash in Switzerland this season, coupled with a bout of tonsillitis, have hampered his progress. Despite these setbacks, his talent and determination remain undeniable. Carapaz is our longshot pick for glory in Spain.