The UFC heavyweight belt will be finally on the line once again, as Jon Jones will have his first heavyweight title defense against Stipe Miocic this weekend. Miocic won’t be a pushover for Bones, as he is a former two-time heavyweight champion and is one of the greatest in the division’s history.
The UFC 309 full card is stacked with great action and some anticipated matchups for the weekend. Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic will headline the event, while Charles Oliveira will take on Michael Chandler in an amazing co-main event fight. The rising star, Bo Nickal, will face Paul Craig in another good fight.
The event will take place on Saturday, November 16, at the Madison Square Garden in New York. This will be the first fight for both Jones and Miocic in this arena, and it will be a 5-round bout for the heavyweight title.
| ℹ️ Event: | UFC 309 Main Event, for Heavyweight Championship title |
| 🏟️ Venue: | Madison Square Garden, New York, United States |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16 November 2024 |
| ⏰ Time: | From 3:00 AM GMT on Sunday |
The odds for the heavyweight title fight have changed severally since the opening odds were released, so let’s take a look at what the best betting apps for UFC fights have to say about the latest Jones vs Miocic odds:
The UFC bookmakers have Jon Jones as a very big favorite with odds of 1.15 (3/20) to beat the Stone Cold, while Stipe Miocic will be the huge underdog with odds of 6.0 (5/1) to beat the defending champion. These are the lowest odds for Bones in the last five years, even though the odds opened at 1.33 (1/3) for him, but the line moved after the public went heavy on Jones.
Jon Jones’ last fight was last year in his heavyweight debut, and he barely broke any sweat in beating Ciryl Gane via submission in round one to win the title. Bones is currently on a five-fight winning streak, so he is in top form right now; even though he is coming off elbow surgery and a mutilated finger injury, he seems to be fine coming into the fight. Jones lost only once in his career, which came from Matt Hamill 15 years ago via disqualification due to illegal elbows, so he never got knocked out or submitted before.
The biggest advantage for Jon Jones in this fight will be his reach superiority over Miocic. The Bones has more than four reach inches over him, as well as six more inches on the leg reach, so Jon can do well by controlling the distance between them and striking while being out of range. Jon Jones is a well-rounded fighter from great striking to wrestling with a high fighting IQ and creativity, and he is four years younger than Stipe, so that will surely help as well.
Stipe Miocic’s last fight was three years ago against Francis Ngannou, and he lost his UFC heavyweight title in that fight. Miocic beat the Cameroonian fighter before in 2018, and he won two impressive fights in his trilogy with Daniel Cormier from 2018 to 2020. Stipe is definitely out of form after his three-year hiatus, but he has the motivation to win his third heavyweight title.
Stipe Miocic has been in the heavyweight division for a very long time, while Jones is still new with only one fight. Miocic has a bigger threat in his one-punch knockout power, as he finished 15 of his 20 wins via knockouts. Stipe also has a very tough chin and great durability in this division, so his heavyweight experience will be the key to defeating Jones in this fight.
Following our analysis of the Jones vs Miocic main event fight at UFC 309, we’ll look at the best MMA betting odds and provide some of the best tips for the fight. Our predictions for Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic are as follows:
3 (100%)
0
Even the PFL sportsbooks have some interesting odds on this betting option, as it has a lot more value than taking Jones on the moneyline. Jon Jones has won eight of his last nine fights via submission of points, while his only knockout victory in that period was over Alexander Gustafsson in 2018. Stipe Miocic isn’t the kind of fighter to go down easily, as he has shown big resilience in similar kinds of fights, having gotten knocked out in only three of his 24 MMA fights.
3 (100%)
0
Jon Jones had an eight-fight streak of going over the total in rounds before breaking it in his last fight. Stipe Miocic also has gone over the total of rounds in three of his last five fights, so this is a bout between two fighters who can spend their time in the octagon and not rush for quick wins. The odds for this pick are enticing, as both of them have big experience in title fights, and they most likely won’t go all-out attack early in their first encounter.
This is a huge fight for the two heavyweight fighters, and we expect Jon Jones to beat Stipe Miocic in a competitive showdown that lasts more than two rounds. Make sure to take advantage of the betting bonuses on the live sports betting sites to have more fun watching the event.
