A fourth Madrid derby this season sees Atletico and Real Madrid battle it out for a place in the quarter-finals of the Champions League. Carlo Ancelotti’s men have a slender lead from the first leg, but there’s all to play for on Wednesday. Catch up on the latest updates from our Atletico vs Real Madrid betting predictions.
Real Madrid takes a 2-1 lead to their city rivals, and a draw would be enough for them to qualify. With away goals scrapped, a win would only level this tie, and the hosts must do so to stand a chance of qualifying.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | UEFA Champions League season 2024-25, Round of 16 (2nd leg) |
| ⚽️ Venue: | Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain |
| 🗓️ Date: | 12 March 2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 GMT on Wednesday |
Atletico vs Real Madrid odds are quite balanced in this tie, with the hosts tagged at 2.50 (6/4) to win while the Blancos are priced at 2.62 (13/8) for a victory. A draw has the highest value at 3.50 (5/2) on 2025 football sportsbooks.
Atletico has faced Real Madrid six times in the last year, and they have only beaten Carlo Ancelotti’s team once in that period. The first leg of this tie ended in a 2-1 win for Real Madrid with goals from Rodrigo and Diaz for the Whites, while Alvarez was on target for Atletico.
It’s been a tough week for Atletico Madrid as they suffered two important defeats, one in the first leg against Real Madrid, and a 2-1 loss to Getafe in La Liga. Diego Simeone’s men are very much still in this competition, as a win would see the draw level with Real Madrid. Atletico Madrid hasn’t lost at home in over four months, and if they are to pull a comeback against Real Madrid, they have a better chance at home.
Rodrigo De Paul was hooked off against Getafe after some discomfort, and he faces a race against time to be fit for this game. Koke Resurrecion is also ruled out for this game, but there are no suspensions for Atletico Madrid.
Following their defeat to Betis in La Liga, Real Madrid has now won their last two matches. The Whites knocked out City and are favorites to win this title on bookies for UCL 2025. Los Blancos dominated in the first derby against Atletico, and they have a one-goal advantage heading into the second leg. Carlo Ancelotti’s side have had a few upsets on the road this season, and they need to be extra careful against this Atletico team.
Dani Ceballos suffered a hamstring injury and was ruled out of action. He joins Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao on the sidelines. Thibaut Courtois and Antonio Rudiger are both expected to recover in time for the second leg. No suspensions for Real Madrid.
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Real Madrid aren’t under pressure like the hosts, and a draw is enough for them to book their place in the quarterfinals. Atletico Madrid is decent at home, and they have more than enough to avoid a defeat here, but unlikely to pick up a first win in five meetings against Real Madrid. Carlo Ancelotti’s team are winless in three consecutive games at the Metropolitano, and we have another cagey affair on our hands. The first game in the city’s capital was very close and could’ve gone either way, but we’d expect a very close game this time with both teams level at full time.
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Real Madrid had some upsets away from home, and they have won only one of their last three away matches. In that period, they have faced Real Betis, Real Sociedad, and Osasuna, failing to score more than once in those games. Atletico Madrid’s home ground is a fortress, and in games like this, they are a difficult team to break down. In their last five games at home, Atletico has kept three clean sheets, conceding just two goals. There are good odds on Madrid not scoring more than once on Atletico vs Real Madrid predictions.
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The first leg wasn’t so intense and uncharacteristic of a Madrid derby, but with all to play for in the second leg, expect a lot of emotions. There were eight yellow cards and a red card in Atletico’s 2-1 defeat to Getafe over the weekend. Real Madrid received three bookings in their last game against Rayo Vallecano, and we can see a similar trend in the derby. Backing the over 4.5 cards is a good offer on Atletico vs Real Madrid betting tips.
Can Atletico pull off a comeback in this tie? Our Atletico vs Real Madrid betting picks are now out, and you can make extra cash by using our expert tips and predictions.
