Madrid is set to roll out the red carpet for the brightest tennis stars in the world. As tennis fans eagerly wait to see the best in action at the Spanish capital, here are our Madrid Open 2025 predictions and analysis.
As a prestigious 1000-level event for both the ATP and WTA tours, the 2025 Madrid Open will be a crucial battleground in the clay swing, with the French Open just around the corner.
The likes of Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, two-time winner Aryna Sabalenka, and defending title-holder Iga Swiatek will be the headliners at Caja Mágica in southern Madrid.
Meanwhile, men’s world No. 1 Jannik Sinner will sit this one out, with his return from suspension slated for the next stop. Read on for our free tips for the 2025 Madrid Open.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | ATP & WTA Tours (Masters 1000), 2025 Madrid Open |
| 🎾 Venue: | Caja Mágica, Madrid, Spain (Outdoor Clay) |
| 🗓️ Dates: | Tuesday, April 22 to Sunday, May 4, 2025 |
The Madrid Open started in 2002 and will return for its 23rd edition this year. However, the WTA section of the tournament will be its 16th since it was not a part of the original format.
Every spring, the Madrid Open takes place on the clay courts of the Caja Mágica. Though fans might recall the short blue clay diversion back in 2012, it’s a major stop on both tours as an ATP Masters 1000 and WTA 1000 event.
With the top 32 seeds bypassing the first round, the men’s and women’s singles events each have a 96-player draw.
When the Madrid Open first hit the calendar in 2002, it was a men’s-only Masters event, effectively replacing the discontinued Eurocard Open in Stuttgart. From 2002 to 2008, it was staged at the Madrid Arena and served as one of two indoor hard-court Masters events leading into the ATP Tour Finals.
2009 marked a turning point for the Madrid Open. The tournament moved to a new venue, changed its surface, and secured a fresh spot in the tennis calendar. The tournament added a top-tier women’s event, replacing Berlin, and assumed Hamburg’s position on the European clay swing. Madrid Open also moved outdoors that year to Park Manzanares, with the newly built Caja Mágica serving as its striking new home.
No man has won more Madrid Open titles than Rafael Nadal, who has lifted the trophy five times. On the women’s side, Petra Kvitová holds the record with three championships.
You must also study court specifics before placing a bet on the 2025 Madrid Masters Open tennis. The Caja Mágica courts are red clay courts, but one factor makes them slightly different. Madrid’s elevation — around 650–700 metres — isn’t extreme, but it’s enough to affect how the ball behaves. The thinner air means shots travel faster through the court than at lower-altitude events like Rome or Monte-Carlo. While the clay still produces a high bounce, the pace can feel more like a hard court, particularly in warmer conditions.
Betting apps for tennis have published the latest 2025 tennis Madrid Open odds for the ATP edition of the tournament. They are as follows:
Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2025 tennis Madrid Open odds by a wide margin. The Spaniard has lost just once this clay swing, winning Monte-Carlo and making the final of Barcelona over the weekend.
Behind him, Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev are tight second favourites, with the Serbian surprisingly ahead of Munich champion Zverev. Casper Ruud and Taylor Fritz round out the top five, though recent Barcelona champ Holger Rune is an honorable mention at 23.00 (22/1) too.
Before we discuss the WTA side, let’s run through our 2025 ATP Madrid predictions.
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Carlos Alcaraz couldn’t make it three in a row in Madrid last year, bowing out in the quarter-finals to eventual champ Andrey Rublev. This time around, with revenge fueling his campaign, Alcaraz is gunning for a third title in the Spanish capital. So, backing the Spanish star for another successful run in Madrid is not one of the most outrageous tennis 2025 Madrid Masters betting tips to make.
The Madrid Open has long been a happy hunting ground for Spanish stars, with eight titles won on home soil since 2002. Alcaraz knows exactly what it takes to thrive on this clay—and he’s already shown he has the game to conquer it. With the home crowd roaring him on, Alcaraz is on a mission to take back his Madrid title. And with Sinner out of the picture, he’s the clear frontrunner this year. Odds on Spanish mobile betting apps also echo this sentiment.
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Frenchman Arthur Fils is in the form of his life in 2025, and is the only man to have made the quarter-finals or better of all three Masters events this season. He holds the seventh line of betting across most bookies, but easily has the potential to win this one.
Fils is 17-8 for the season, with wins over the likes of Alexander Zverev, Andrey Rublev, Lorenzo Musetti, and Frances Tiafoe in the past two months. Madrid will favor his serve and forehand, and with the form of a semi-final run in Barcelona behind him, this could be Fils’ breakout event.
Before getting to our WTA Madrid 2025 betting picks, let’s go through the pre-tournament outright odds for the WTA 2025 Madrid Open. Here they are:
Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek have dominated the Madrid Open in recent years, and tennis bookmakers are unable to separate them this time, with both priced at 4.00 (3/1) to win.
Last year’s finalists lead tenn star Mirra Andreeva by a wide margin, with the Russian trailing at 10.00 (9/1) despite having won two WTA 1000s already this season. Both Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff are on 13.00 (12/1), as the altitude favors Rybakina’s serve, while the clay gives Gauff a defensive edge.
Looking for the best WTA Madrid 2025 betting picks? We got you covered.
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Jelena Ostapenko proved a thorn in the side of both Swiatek and Sabalenka in Stuttgart, yet despite those early exits, the world’s top two are still the ones to watch in Madrid. Swiatek’s loss to Ostapenko in the quarters wasn’t exactly a surprise, given their 6-0 head-to-head, but Sabalenka’s 6-4, 6-1 defeat in the final was definitely a more unexpected outcome.
Both players have had their time at the top in Madrid recently—Sabalenka winning in 2021 and 2023, while Swiatek got the better of her in an exciting final last year, then added Rome and Roland Garros to her trophy collection. However, since her French Open victory over 10 months ago, the Pole has yet to claim another title, and as the European clay season intensifies, she has some questions to address.
Sabalenka seems to have the upper hand this year, with Madrid’s altitude suiting her game perfectly. She should handle the first quarter with ease, where her main competitors, Qinwen Zheng and Paula Badosa, have been no match for her in the past. A solid start could fuel her momentum to claim the trophy.
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It’s rare that players win back-to-back tournaments on the WTA Tour, but Ostapenko is a unique case. The Latvian is one of the most mercurial players of her generation, as evidenced by her run in Stuttgart last week, where she not only defeated but thrashed the top two players in the world.
The reason why Ostapenko makes a great high odds pick at the Madrid Open – and any tournament – is that when she’s on, she’s on. It matters little who is on the other side of the net. She also has a proclivity for going on win streaks. Right now, she’s on, and is a great bet at 21.00 (20/1).
Our Madrid Open 2025 predictions are that Alcaraz and Sabalenka will take out the titles. Though, there is some tempting value in going a few lines of betting deeper and taking the likes of Fils and Ostapenko to make runs. Will you go conservative or lucrative? Get your bets in quick, as outright odds will shift after the opening round.
