The ATP and WTA Tours continue the road to Roland-Garros this week with the first combined clay court Masters of the year. All the big names are out in force at the Madrid Open, with the exception of Novak Djokovic in the men’s draw. Who can grab some vital momentum ahead of the year’s second Grand Slam? Read on for our Madrid Open 2024 predictions.
Carlos Alcaraz will be looking to bounce back from injury in Madrid and defend the title he’s won the past two years in a row. In the women’s event, Aryna Sabalenka has been similarly dominant, claiming the WTA title in two of the past three editions. Can she do it again in 2024? We break down the latest 2024 tennis Madrid Open odds to find out.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | ATP & WTA Tours (Masters 1000), 2024 Mutua Madrid Open |
| 🏟️ Venue: | La Caja Magica, Madrid, Spain |
| 🗓️ Dates: | Tuesday, 23 April to Sunday, 5 May 2024 |
Ahead of our tennis Madrid Masters betting tips, let’s take a quick look at what makes this tournament just so significant. As a Masters 1000 tournament, it’s as big as an event on the WTA and ATP Tours gets, with the exception of the year-end finals and Grand Slams. That means big, big prize money, and big, big ranking points. With an extended 12-day format and 96-player draws, you’d be forgiven for thinking it was a Major.
The Madrid Open is a fascinating event because of where it falls in the calendar. It comes a month out from Roland-Garros, the year’s second Grand Slam. Most players have now been competing on the clay for somewhere between two and four weeks, so any rust from the surface swap should be gone.
That said, Madrid is a unique tournament for one reason: altitude. While clay courts are typically known to favor players who thrive in slow conditions, the thinner air balances that out here. If ever there’s a clay court event where a big server can dominate, it’s Madrid.
We’ve consulted the top betting app to see who’s favorite heading into the Madrid Open, and here’s what the consensus is ahead of the tournament:
Two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz leads the pack at 2.25 (5/4), which is no big surprise. Behind him has been 2024 sensation Jannik Sinner, who is at 3.75 (11/4) with only two losses so far this year. The legendary Rafael Nadal is next, paying 7.00 (6/1) despite having only won one match on clay in the last 600 days. Barcelona finalists Casper Ruud and Stefanos Tsitsipas round out the 2024 tennis Madrid Open odds at 10.00 (9/1) and 12.00 (11/1), respectively.
Enough dilly-dallying, let’s dive straight into our 2024 ATP Madrid Open predictions. Those who love sport betting with cryptocurrency are in luck because we have two brilliant wagers for you to take this week for men’s draw:
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That’s right, we’re being bold and picking against Carlos Alcaraz in Madrid. It’s a brave move, considering the Spaniard is on an 11-match winning streak at La Caja Magica, but with the betting favorite coming into Madrid under an injury cloud, he’s far from a safe bet.
More importantly, there’s real merit for Sinner winning this title, regardless of what Alcaraz is up to. Why? Well, here’s what’s happened each time Sinner has lost the past nine months:
After each of Sinner’s last four losses, he’s bounced back incredibly strong. The Italian comes to Madrid off the back of a semi-final loss in Monte-Carlo to Stefanos Tsitsipas. If the past nine months are anything to go from, it’s pretty clear what’s going to happen this week: Sinner will win Madrid.
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Speaking of big-hitting Italians, how about this for a dark horse bet on 2024 Madrid Masters tennis? Matteo Berrettini is an enormous underdog coming into the Madrid Open, but we say there’s enough here to warrant a sneaky bet on the 28-year-old.
First, Berrettini has spent the majority of the past two years sidelined with injury. But, when he returned, the Italian almost immediately won a title at the ATP 250 in Marrakech. For a man who’s known as a grass court specialist, this was quietly Berrettini’s fourth clay court title.
Big serve, big forehand… Sounds like a winning recipe in Madrid. Perhaps that’s why he made the final in 2021. With odds of 51.00 (50/1), backing Berrettini to win is a sleeper bet that really can’t be passed up.
You’ve seen our 2024 ATP Madrid Open predictions, now it’s time for the ladies. Here are the odds we’re using to inform our WTA Madrid Open 2024 betting picks:
Bookies in Spain have world number one Iga Swiatek as the favorite to win in Madrid, despite the Pole never claiming this title before. Swiatek pays 2.50 (3/2), ahead of recent Stuttgart winner Elena Rybakina at 6.00 (5/1). Defending champion Aryna Sabalenka returns 8.50 (15/2), while Coco Gauff is a step behind on 15.00 (14/1). Danielle Collins rounds out the women’s top five betting favorites with odds of 17.00 (16/1) as she looks to continue her hot form in 2024. These chances will undoubtedly change as the tournament progresses, so keep an eye on the live tennis odds.
Itching to make a bet? Here are our free tips for Madrid Master 2024 tennis:
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It’s been a tough few months for Sabalenka. Since winning the Australian Open, the Belarusian is yet to claim another title in 2024. She also had significant personal matters to deal with in Miami, which can’t have been easy.
Madrid feels like a fresh chapter for Sabalenka, however. She played well in Stuttgart despite exiting in the quarter-finals. Now, returning to the arena where she’s won twice in the past three years, we expect her winning ways will also return. The 25-year-old has been drawn in the same half as Elena Rybakina, who is in form having won last week. Going back-to-back is tough though, so it would be no surprise if Sabalenka gets past her in the semis. Then, a repeat of the 2023 final could be on the cards, where Sablenka defeated Iga Swiatek in three epic sets.
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Another of our dark horse Madrid Open 2024 predictions is that Mirra Andreeva will make a big run over the next fortnight. The 16-year-old Russian is young and raw, and it’s evidenced in her results. One week, she’s crashing out of the first round to a player outside the top 100; the next, she’s defeating the top 10 players and going deep in Grand Slams.
All the ingredients are there for Andreeva to succeed on clay, particularly at a tournament like Madrid. There’s a reason why bookmakers are expecting her to perform at Roland-Garros next month, but we say Andreeva’s moment of glory could come earlier than expected. It would be a boilove
You’ve heard our analysis, now it’s your turn to bet on 2024 Madrid Masters tennis. Will Sinner continue his pattern of winning titles every time he loses? What about Sabalenka, will she hoist a title for the first time since the Australian Open? We think so–but don’t count out a few dark horses either over the next fortnight in Madrid.
