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Friday night sees super-featherweight boxing return to Newark, New Jersey, where Shakur Stevenson will take on Robson Conceicao at the Prudential Center. The American and Brazilian boxers clash for the WBO/WBC Super-Featherweight Belts, with Stevenson yet again defending his titles.
Looking at the Stevenson Conceicao odds, it’s clear that one fighter is the heavy favorite to be the winner here.
With outright odds to win of 1.05 (1/10), the defending Super-Featherweight champion is overwhelmingly ahead at the bookmakers to successfully retain his WBO/WBC belts. For Conceicao to pull off the upset win, live bet sites are currently offering a payout of 8.50 (15/2), making the challenger a significant underdog here.
Let’s take a closer look at exactly why these odds favor Stevenson so heavily.
Great supportMobile appsLive bettingLive bettingMany sportsFast payoutsWelcome offersFast payouts24/7 supportVIP programLive gamesMany bonusesCompetitive oddsGreat sports markeCash outSix years ago, a 19-year-old Shakur Stevenson fought in a Gold Medal match at the Rio Olympics, walking away with a Silver Medal in his hand.
Since then, Stevenson has launched his professional boxing career and gone on an 18-0-0 unbeaten streak, barely losing a single round in that time. To say that Stevenson is in good form would be an understatement—the man is a generational talent, and what we are witnessing unfold will likely be talked about news for decades to come.
Stevenson’s last fight was a unanimous decision win over Oscar Valdez in late April 2022.
Steven fights as a southpaw and dismantles opponents off the back of his near-impenetrable defense.
As his record shows, the majority of Stevenson’s wins come by way of majority decision. This is because of his clinical, almost scientific approach to boxing. Expect Stevenson to come out with the same tactic against Conceicao—there will be no spark or X-factor highlights, just methodical boxing, taking advantage of gaps in his opponent’s guard from the outside, playing to the stats, and picking up points through counter punches.
While Stevenson’s most recent win came over Oscar Valdez, Conceicao’s only loss has come at the hands of the Mexican late last year.
Many believe that Conceicao has been robbed in his points loss against Valdez and should be the world champion, holding a similar to Shakur’s 18-0-0 record instead of his current one of 17-1-0. Since then, Conceicao has bounced back with a win over Xavier Martinez by decision in January 2022, securing him this title fight against Stevenson.
This weekend’s fight is one that many believe should have happened late last year, and Conceicao will feel it is well overdue.
The overwhelming underdog odds attributed to Conceicao say more about Stevenson than they do about Conceicao.
The 33-year-old Brazilian is an excellent boxer with a tight high guard that likes to fight an aggressive match coming forward on his opponent. He also has a great boxing IQ and a strong body punch. This, plus the fact that he has a near identical record to Stevenson, speaks to the caliber of Conceicao as a boxer and what he brings to this fight.
As a major boxing event, Stevenson vs. Conceicao will be accessible on most live streaming platforms, likely behind a paywall as a pay-per-view feature.
The fight occurs this Friday night, September 23, with the main card commencing at 10:00 PM ET and ring walks for the main event expected around midnight. It will be held in Newark, New Jersey, at the Prudential Center.
With a strong understanding of each fighter’s background, several picks become clear at the different live bet sites offering odds on Stevenson vs. Conceicao.
Firstly, it is clear that Stevenson should win this one. For a young boxer, Stevenson has an incredibly calm head on his shoulders and is rarely rattled by his tried and true methodology.
Expect him to have the confidence to stick to the formula that has worked 18 times previously over the last six years and get a win here to defend his WBC/WBO belts comfortably. Given that the majority of Stevenson’s victories have come by points decision, there’s a good chance that will happen again here.
While the winner of this fight is never really in contention, the method of victory is very much up for grabs. Stevenson has gained the majority of his fights by unanimous decision, methodically picking up points along the way. However, in his recent fight against Jamel Herring, Stevenson got riled up and showed a lot more fire in his belly than usual.
If the American can channel this kind of passion again, there’s every chance that he will press harder and win this one by knockout. A knockout result will be especially likely if Conceicao is pressing forward to try and gain one of his own.
Looking at this fight from a completely different angle, there’s an outside chance that it will end by Conceicao scoring a knockout. This bet is a long shot, but with a payday of 11.00 (10/1), it is worth punt to bookmakers that accept credit cards.
The Brazilian will know that any shadow of predictability from his side will be punished by Stevenson. As the overwhelming underdog, there’s every chance that Conceicao will throw away his usual game plan and adopt something more radical and unorthodox. Expect Conceicao to come out aggressively and take the fight to Stevenson, and if he gets lucky, score a knockout over his superior opponent.
As much as a Conceicao knockout can be hypothesized about, the reality is betting on this fight is a question of whether Stevenson will win by decision or knockout, and if so, at what stage of the fight.
While this fight going the distance looks likely, if Stevenson was to win by knockout, it’s a high chance of occurring in the first few rounds. Looking at previous Stevenson knockouts, of which there are nine, five of these have occurred in the first two rounds.
Conceicao’s caliber will likely prevent him from succumbing to a first-round knockout, but by late in the second, Stevenson may discover a hole and successfully pounce.
Prediction: Stevenson to win by knockout in the second round @ 41.00 (40/1).
| Predictions | Odds |
|---|---|
| Stevenson to Win by Decision | 1.61 (8/13) |
| Stevenson to Win by Second Round Knockout | 41.00 (40/1) |
| Conceicao to Win by Knockout | 11.00 (10/1) |
In a much-anticipated clash that has the WBC/WBO Super-Featherweight titles on the line, fans will be hoping to see fireworks. Either Stevenson will turn on a boxing clinic and win by decision to extend his unbeaten record, or Conceicao will come out with a fresh approach, and one man will be knocked out.
