2024/25 Primeira Liga Portugal Season Predictions, Winner Odds & Betting Tips (9 August 2024 – 18 May 2025)

24/25 Liga Portugal Season Betting Guide

The Portuguese Primeira Liga will commence on August 9, 2024, and conclude its 2024/2025 season on May 18, 2025. Sporting Lisbon, the triumphant champions of the previous season, clinched the title with an impressive two games to spare. They finished with a commanding ten-point lead over second-place rivals Benfica.

The league features eighteen teams locked in a fierce battle across thirty-four matches each. The final standings will determine the champions, the clubs qualifying for European competitions, and those facing relegation.

2024-25 Primeira Liga Winner Odds & Favorites

The current 2024–25 Primeira Liga Portugal winner odds on betting apps in Portugal list the favorite teams’ chances of victory as follows:

Benfica

Best odds:

2.55 (3/2)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.4

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Sporting Lisbon

Best odds:

2.70 (5/3)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.4

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FC Porto

Best odds:

2.85 (11/6)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.4

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Braga

Best odds:

26.00 (25/1)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.4

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Boavista

Best odds:

100.00 (99/1)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.4

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Benfica @ 2.55 (3/2)

Benfica remains a strong contender for the Primeira Liga title despite losing to Sporting Lisbon by 10 points last season. They are the most successful team in Portuguese top-flight history, with 38 titles. Benfica has won six of the last 11 championships, including a streak from 2014 to 2017. Last season, they matched Sporting with 16 clean sheets but fell short by 19 goals, possibly due to selling striker Goncalo Ramos to PSG. To reclaim the title, Benfica will rely on top scorers like Rafa Silva, who netted 14 goals, and the experience of Angel Di Maria and Joao Mario. Outscoring major rivals could be the key to their success this season.

Sporting Lisbon @ 2.70 (5/3)

Sporting Lisbon is the next favorite to land the title based on their 2024–24 Liga Portugal odds. As reigning champions, they must replicate last season’s exceptional performance to retain the crown. They achieved the most wins, scored the most goals, and suffered the fewest losses, clinching the title on matchday 32. Viktor Gyökeres, the league’s top scorer and player of the season, was pivotal to their success. Retaining coach Rúben Amorim will be crucial to grabbing a second consecutive title this season. Amorim has led Sporting to two Primeira Liga titles since joining in 2020, with an impressive average of 2.25 points per game. His continued leadership is vital to Sporting’s title defense.

FC Porto @ 2.85 (11/6)

FC Porto, one of the league’s “Big Three,” has odds closely matching those of rivals Sporting and Benfica. With 30 Primeira Liga titles, their last triumph came in the 2021/22 season with 91 points. Porto aims to reclaim the league title this season after finishing third last year, 18 points behind Sporting. Their struggle last season stemmed from inconsistent performances, particularly in critical matches. Losses to Estoril (twice), Benfica, Sporting, Arouca, and Vitoria highlighted this issue. Improving in these critical games could see Porto win the 2024-25 Liga Portugal Betclic.

Braga @ 26.00 (25/1)

Braga is another favorite for the Liga Portugal title but must surpass the Big Three to achieve it. They have consistently finished in the top four for seven consecutive seasons since 2017/18, indicating their persistence. Braga will be eager to claim the title this season despite never winning the domestic league. Daniel Sousa’s squad finished fourth last season with 21 wins, five draws, and eight losses. Key player Simon Banza, the league’s second-highest scorer with 21 goals, could drive their title ambitions. Braga might secure their first-ever championship this season if they can outperform the Big Three.

Boavista @ 100.00 (99/1)

Boavista winning the league is a risky bet, but they might be the dark horse in the title race. They had a taste of success in the 2000/2001 season when they broke the dominance of the “Big Three.” A repeat of their incredible performance 23 years ago might grant them their 2nd Primeira Liga title. They finished 15th last season, avoiding relegation with few goal difference. With proper recruitment and some reshuffles in the team, they could turn their fortunes around and contend for this season’s title.

Football Portugal Primeira Liga 2024-25 Format & Overview

The Primeira Liga operates on a relegation/promotion system with Liga Portugal 2. Since 2014/15, it features 18 teams competing in 34 matches each season. The champion, determined by the highest points tally, secures a Champions League group stage spot.

The runner-up enters Champions League qualifiers. Third and fourth places earn Europa League and Conference League qualification spots, respectively. The bottom two teams face direct relegation, with the 16th-placed team contesting a two-legged playoff against Liga Portugal 2’s third-placed team for top-flight survival.

The 2024/25 Primeira Liga season commences on August 9, and the competition will last approximately ten months. Nacional, Santa Clara, and AVS secured promotion to the top tier. They replace the relegated Chaves, Vizela, and Portimonense, who now compete in Liga Portugal 2.

History of The Liga Portugal

The Primeira Liga, Portugal’s premier football competition, was founded in 1934 as the Campeonato da Liga da Primeira Divisão. After several iterations, it adopted its current name in 1999. Boavista FC, established in 1903, predates the league by three decades.

Over 70 teams have competed in its 90-year history, but only five have claimed the title. The “Big Three”—Benfica, Porto, and Sporting CP—have dominated, with Belenenses (1945-46) and Boavista (2000-01) being the sole exceptions. Benfica achieved an unbeaten season in 1972/73, securing the title with 28 wins and 2 draws. Remarkably, they repeated this feat in 1977/78 but lost the title to Porto on goal difference.

Fernando Peyroteo holds the all-time scoring record with 332 goals in 197 appearances for Sporting CP between 1937 and 1949. Eusébio claims the record for most top-scorer titles with seven. The Primeira Liga has been a breeding ground for exceptional talent, producing stars like Cristiano Ronaldo, Luís Figo, Eusébio, and João Félix. Also, they often become a bridge between South American talents and bigger European clubs, with the likes of Angel Di Maria, James Rodriguez, Darwin Nunez, and Eder Militao among the most famous.

Previous Winners of The Primeira Liga Portugal

The last five winner of the Portuguese top-fly football championship are as follows:

• 2023/24 – Sporting Lisbon
• 2022/23 – Benfica
• 2021/22 – FC Porto
• 2020/21 – Sporting Lisbon
• 2019/20 – FC Porto

Outright Winner 24-25 Liga Portugal Predictions

Here are our Season predictions for Liga Portugal 24/25:

Sporting Lisbon To Win @ 2.70 (5/3)

Rúben Amorim has revived Sporting Lisbon’s competitive spirit against Porto and Benfica since taking charge in 2020, securing two Primeira Liga titles. Last season’s triumph was their second in 21 years, and they are poised to defend their title. Sporting dominated, especially in the second half of the season. They remained unbeaten in 2024 with 17 wins and two draws, propelling them to a well-deserved title success in May.

Maintaining this form will be crucial for their title defense. Key to this is retaining Viktor Gyökeres, the 26-year-old striker who was the league’s player of the season with 29 goals and ten assists. Contributions from Paulinho and Pedro Gonçalves, who both scored in double figures last season, will also be vital to their ambitions. Numerous 24-25 Liga Portugal predictions articles expect this outcome, especially if Sporting saves their young talents for another season.

High-Odds Winner Prediction – Braga @ 26.00 (25/1)

Braga could be the dark horse in this season’s title race, having consistently finished just behind the Big Three for the past seven years. Despite scoring eight more goals than FC Porto last season, they conceded 23 more, highlighting their defensive weakness. Braga needs to balance their strong attack with a more resilient defense to challenge for the title. If they can achieve this, they might secure their first-ever title.

Key to their success will be Simon Banza, who netted 21 goals last season and remains crucial to their ambitions. This looks risky but offers high returns for those who prefer to bet on football season outcomes. Still, one can wait for the late-summer transfer moves, and if Braga saves their leaders and strengthens their defense — this punt will be worth a try.

Portuguese Super Cup 2024 Betting Tip

Sporting Lisbon vs FC Porto: Porto To Win @ 3.15 (13/6)

Despite losing the league last season, FC Porto defeated Sporting Lisbon in the Taça da Liga final, preventing Sporting from securing the doubles. Porto boasts an impressive record against Sporting, with six wins and four draws in their last 11 meetings. This strong performance history could bolster their chances in their upcoming clash. Additionally, Porto has maintained excellent form, winning ten consecutive matches since May, including friendlies. This winning streak positions them well to potentially claim the season’s first title.