Real Madrid will welcome Atletico Madrid to the Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday for their 23rd league game. Separated by just one point at the top, Los Blancos will aim to extend their lead. Who will get the vital points in this derby? Our Real Madrid vs Atletico predictions guide previews this contest.
Atletico Madrid have netted 37 goals in 22 matches, ranking fourth in La Liga’s attack. Meanwhile, Real Madrid boast the league’s fifth-best defense, conceding just 21 goals across their 22 fixtures.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | Spanish La Liga season 2024-25, Matchday 23 |
| ⚽️ Venue: | Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain |
| 🗓️ Date: | 8 February 2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 8 p.m. GMT on Saturday |
According to the latest betting Odds for Real Madrid, Los Blanco’s chances for victory are at 1.83 (4/5) odds. Atletico are the underdog with 4.33 (10/3) odds. Real Madrid vs Atletico’s odds for a stalemate are 3.60 (13/5).
Real Madrid have won just one of their previous five matches with Atletico, while Simeone boys have won twice with two draws.
Real Madrid sits atop La Liga with 49 points from 22 matches, boasting 15 wins, four draws, and three defeats. Ancelotti’s team currently leads Atletico Madrid by a single point and holds a four-point cushion over Barcelona. Their five-game winning streak across all competitions ended with a 1-0 loss to Espanyol last weekend. Despite the loss, most La Liga 24/25 bookies still favor them to retain the league title.
At home, Los Blancos have been formidable, securing seven league wins and suffering just one defeat. Their only loss came against Barcelona in October. This impressive Bernabéu record will fuel their confidence heading into the crucial Madrid derby. Before the derby, they faced Leganes in the Copa del Rey quarter-finals on Wednesday and narrowly beat them 3-2.
Rüdiger’s injury leaves Madrid with only two fit center-backs. Alaba is back, but he is not fully fit. Camavinga, Carvajal, and Militão remain sidelined.
Atlético Madrid’s 15-game winning streak ended with a 1-0 loss to Leganés. However, they’ve bounced back with four wins and a draw since that loss. Two of those victories came in the Champions League, which secured their place in the knockout rounds as they finished 5th.
Their last league match ended with a 2-0 victory over Mallorca. The game marked Diego Simeone’s 500th La Liga game as the team’s head coach. AtlĂ©tico followed up a 5-0 win against Getafe on Tuesday to reach the Copa del Rey semifinals. Simeone’s boys are one point behind Real Madrid and are firmly in the title race. A derby win would propel them to the top of La Liga.
Los Colchoneros are without Javi Galán. Rodrigo De Paul returns from suspension, but Robin Le Normand is suspended for this match.
Here are our Real Madrid vs Atletico betting predictions for this clash:
2 (100%)
0
Real Madrid would typically be favorites, but missing key center-backs weakens their defense. Ancelotti may deploy Tchouaméni at the back, which could struggle against Griezmann and Sørloth, who each have eight La Liga goals. Atlético, with just one loss in their last five meetings against Madrid (two wins, two draws), have a strong chance of securing at least a draw to keep their title hopes alive.
2 (100%)
0
With world-class attacking talent on both sides, goals are almost guaranteed. Their last eight consecutive encounters have seen both teams scoring. Three of Madrid’s previous five league matches have recorded the same pattern. Similar trends have persisted in the last five Atletico games across all competitions. So, we expect both teams to find the net on Saturday. The best bookmakers for soccer value this option at odds of 1.66 (2/3).
1 (50%)
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Despite a slow start at the Spanish capital, Kylian MbappĂ© has rediscovered his excellent form. He is the team’s leading scorer in the league with 15 goals, almost double Vinicius’s tally, who’s second. The French talisman has scored five in his last three league matches, indicating his brilliant form. With the support of Bellingham, Vinicius, and Rodrygo, we expect MbappĂ© to increase his tally in this match.
The following are our Real Madrid vs Atletico betting picks for the game:
Atlético’s potent attackers should exploit Madrid’s struggling defense, increasing their chances to earn at least a draw. Use our Real Madrid vs Atletico betting tips to stake and win extra cash on any of our endorsed sports betting platforms.
