2023 Giro d’Italia Betting Odds, Tips & Predictions (Cycling, May 6-28)
The first Grand Tour cycling event of 2023 is upon us, with the Giro d’Italia commencing this Saturday in Italy. With the race spanning 3,448 kilometers from Ortona to Rome, its 21 stages comprise one of the most coveted prizes in the cycling calendar. Just like the 105 editions before it, expect this Giro d’Italia to be hotly contested by the world’s best cyclists.
Key Info About the 2023 Giro d’Italia
Many are billing this year’s Giro d’Italia as the Remco Evenpoel vs Primoz Roglic show. These two athletes are undoubtedly the favorites, but with a track record of upsets occurring on the Italian roads, will we see an underdog yet again clinch this event?
The likes of past champion Tao Geoghegan Hart and Italy’s Damiano Caruso will be hoping this run of upsets continues as they seek to make deep runs this year. We break down all the latest Giro d’Italia 2023 odds and offer up our expert 2023 Giro d’Italia predictions ahead of the first stage on Saturday.
|ℹ️ Tournament:||2023 UCI World Tour, Giro d’Italia 2023 (Tour of Italy)|
|🛣 Stages and Distance:||21 stages covering 3,448 kilometers|
|🗓️ Dates:||Saturday 6 May to Sunday 28 May|
Giro d’Italia 2023 Odds
To understand the landscape of this race ahead of the first stage, here’s a look at the Giro d’Italia 2023 odds for an outright winner from the top cycling betting sites:
- Remco Evenepoel to win @ 1.72 (8/11)
- Primoz Roglic to win @ 3.00 (2/1)
- Geraint Thomas to win @ 11.00 (10/1)
- Tao Geoghegan Hart to win @ 15.00 (14/1)
- Joao Almeida to win @ 15.00 (14/1)
It will come as no surprise that Remco Evenepoel and Primoz Roglic are well ahead of the rest of the pack in the betting odds. In fact, at 1.72 (8/11) and 3.00 (2/1), they are the only two contestants paying less than 11.00 (10/1). Such skewed odds are rare in cycling but reflect how heavily favored Evenepoel and Roglic are to lift the trophy this year.
The next best challengers to these favorites are Geraint Thomas, Tao Geoghegan Hart, and Joao Almeida. Thomas sits at 11.00 (10/1), while Hart and Almeida are tied at 15.00 (14/1). From here, the odds drop off even sharper, with just the 11th favorite paying a hefty 51.00 (50/1).
Understanding the Giro d’Italia 2023
Short of the Tour de France, this is hands down the biggest cycling race in the world. In fact, together with the Tour de France and the UCI Road World Championships, it comprises the Triple Crown of Cycling, the most prestigious and elusive of achievements in the sport.
Since its inception in 1909, the race has been held annually, except during the World Wars. The Giro d’Italia typically lasts for a little over three weeks in May and is made up of 21 stages – including three individual time trials, six stages over 200 km, and a passage through the Alps.
Here’s a closer look at all the stages of the 2023 Giro d’Italia:
2023 Giro d’Italia Stages
|1||6 May||Fossacesia to Ortona||Individual time trial||18.4|
|2||7 May||Teramo to San Salvo||Flat||204|
|3||8 May||Vasto to Melfi||Intermediate||210|
|4||9 May||Venosa to Lago Laceno||Intermediate||166|
|5||10 May||Atripalda to Salerno||Hilly||172|
|6||11 May||Naples to Naples||Hilly||156|
|7||12 May||Capua to Gran Sasso||Mountain||218|
|8||13 May||Terni to Fossombrone||Intermediate||207|
|9||14 May||Savignano sul Rubicone to Cesena||Individual time trial||30.7|
|10||16 May||Scandiano to Viareggio||Hilly||190|
|11||17 May||Camaiore to Tortona||Hilly||218|
|12||18 May||Bra to Rivoli||Intermediate||179|
|13||19 May||Borgofranco d’Ivrea to Crans-Montana||Mountain||208|
|14||20 May||Sierre to Cassano Magnago||Hilly||194|
|15||21 May||Seregno to Bergamo||Mountain||191|
|16||23 May||Sabbio Chiese to Monte Bondone||Mountain||198|
|17||24 May||Pergine Valsugana to Caorle||Flat||192|
|18||25 May||Oderzo to Zoldo Alto||Mountain||160|
|19||26 May||Longarone to Tre Cime di Lavaredo||Mountain||182|
|20||27 May||Tarvisio to Monte Lussari||Individual time trial||18.6|
|21||28 May||Rome to Rome||Flat||115|
With such a grueling schedule and a diverse range of stages, it’s no wonder that winning the Giro d’Italia is viewed as such a prestigious accomplishment. Here are the last five men to do so:
Last Five Winners of Giro d’Italia
- 2018 – Chris Froome of Team Sky
- 2019 – Richard Carapaz of Movistar Team
- 2020 – Tao Geoghegan Hart of Ineos Grenadiers
- 2021 – Egan Bernal of Ineos Grenadiers
- 2022 – Jai Hindley of Bora-Hansgrohe
With 2022 winner Jai Hindley not competing in this year’s event, will we see a new champion crowned at the 2023 Giro d’Italia? Read on to find out as we analyze the Giro d’Italia 2023 odds to deliver our top Giro d’Italia 2023 betting tips.
2023 Giro d’Italia Predictions
If you’ve read this far, chances are you’re looking to bet on the Giro d’Italia 2023. Well, in that case, you’re in the right place, as our experts have broken down all the Giro d’Italia odds 2023 to give you the best 2023 Giro d’Italia predictions:
Remco Evenepoel to Win @ 1.72 (8/11)
It may seem simple. It may seem straightforward. But it also may be exactly what happens over the next three weeks in Italy. Simply put, Remco Evenepoel is the strong favorite to win the Giro d’Italia for a good reason. The Belgian is not only the highest-ranked cyclist competing this month but also in fine form. The World No.3 has claimed event wins at the Liege-Bastogne-Liege and the UAE Tour already this year, to go with a second-place finish at the Volta a Catalunya and 7th at the Vuelta a San Juan.
When it comes to Grand Tour events, Evenepoel is relatively inexperienced. Last year, he won the 2022 Vuelta, which has been his best result so far. In terms of the Giro d’Italia, he’s only raced here once before and failed to complete it after a stage 17 crash. Despite all of this, Evenepoel is by far the strongest and most in-form racer fronting up in this year’s Giro d’Italia.
The 23-year-old is laser-focused on winning the prestigious race in 2023, and while his odds are not particularly lucrative, Evenepoel is the best outright bet here.
Tao Geoghegan Hart Top Three @ 3.75 (11/4)
Only one man in the entire Giro d’Italia field has won this race previously, and that’s Tao Geoghegan Hart. The Brit claimed the prize here in 2020 and has managed to maintain a solid level since then. Not only has Hart appeared in a total of six Grand Tour events, giving him a strong mental edge coming into this race, but he’s also looking sharp in 2023. On the 2023 UCI World Tour, he’s won the Tour of the Alps and has also come 3rd at Tirreno-Adriatico and Volta Valenciana and 6th at Ruta del Sol.
While Hart is not sitting at No.1 in the betting favorites, backing the Brit to make a strong push here is wise. With odds of 3.75 (11/4) for the 28-year-old to make the top three, this feels like a bet that is realistic considering the form of Evenepoel, yet still lucrative.
Damiano Caruso to Win @ 34.00 (33/1)
Damiano Caruso is our high return bet on the Giro d’Italia 2023. He is a great pick, at least at Italian bookies, when it comes to local riders in this year’s race and is the only Italian in the top 10 betting favorites. While he’s nearing the end of his career at 37 years old, Caruso has performed very strongly in his 30s and doesn’t seem to be fading just yet. He’ll have the experience and mental toughness to put together a big effort in front of his home crowd and could well be a sleeper pick heading into the 2023 Giro d’Italia.
His best result here was two years ago, where he came ever so close with a second-placed finish overall at the Giro d’Italia. Can Caruso go one further and win in 2023? Considering that last year’s winner was a 101.00 (100/1) favorite before the first stage, stranger things would have happened.
Our Recommended Giro d’Italia 2023 Betting Tips
- Remco Evenepoel to Win @ 1.72 (8/11)
- Tao Geoghegan Hart Top Three @ 3.75 (11/4)
It’s shaping up to be a battle between Remco Evenepoel and Primoz Roglic at the Giro d’Italia this year. We say that 23-year-old Remco should have the edge, and in the absence of Tadej Pogacar and Wout van Aert, the Belgian should lift the biggest trophy of his career on 28 May. However, don’t sleep on Tao Geoghegan or Damian Caruso giving Evenepoel a run for his money, and make sure to get your bets in where there’s value.