Who’ll Surprise in Baku? 2024 Formula 1 Azerbaijan GP Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds (September 15)

Key Info About The Formula One 2024 Baku Grand Prix

This year’s Azerbaijan Grand Prix is being held later in the season than usual. The race switched places with the Japanese Grand Prix on the Formula 1 calendar. The event begins with practice sessions from September 13-14. The main race will be held on Sunday, September 15th, 2024.

Formula 1 Azerbaijan GP 2024 Odds & Favorites

The best motorsport betting sites have assigned the following odds for leading candidates to triumph in Baku.

Lando Norris

Best odds:

2.20 (5/4)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Charles Leclerc

Best odds:

6.00 (5/1)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Oscar Piastri

Best odds:

6.00 (5/1)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Max Verstappen

Best odds:

7.50 (13/2)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Carlos Sainz

Best odds:

11.00 (10/1)

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4.6

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4.9

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4.2

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Lando Norris @ 2.20 (5/4)

Lando Norris has been a standout performer in the 2024 season, with ten podium finishes and two wins. Despite starting from pole at the Italian GP, he finished third after being overtaken by teammate Oscar Piastri just during the first lap. Nevertheless, his third-place finish and the fastest lap allowed him to narrow the gap to Max Verstappen to just 62 points. Although he hasn’t won at Baku, Norris’ current form and McLaren’s upgrades make him a strong contender for victory this weekend.

Charles Leclerc @ 6.00 (5/1)

Charles Leclerc marked a triumphant return for Ferrari by ending an eight-race winless streak with a spectacular victory at the Italian Grand Prix. This win, his second of the season, followed podium finishes in both Belgium and the Netherlands. The significant upgrade package from Ferrari proved essential during their home race in Monza. Leclerc has consistently excelled at the Baku City Circuit. The Frenchman has secured the venue’s fastest qualifying times for the past three years. With his track experience and current form, he stands as a formidable contender for another win in Azerbaijan.

Oscar Piastri @ 6.00 (5/1)

Oscar Piastri has equal 2024 Azerbaijan GP F1 betting odds with Leclerc for victory on Sunday. He recently had five podium finishes in nine races since the Monaco GP. These successes include his first win at the Hungary GP. Despite a bold overtake and leading most of the race in Italy, he finished second due to strategy failure. Piastri and McLaren will aim to avoid another setback in Azerbaijan.

Max Verstappen @ 7.50 (13/2)

Max’s Formula 1 Azerbaijan GP 2024 odds indicate he has slid down the pecking order as the favorite to win any F1 race. Verstappen won seven of the first ten races this season but hasn’t claimed victory since June. After finishing a distant sixth at the Italian GP, there are fears his title hopes are fading. Red Bull’s car balance issues since May have hindered his performance. Upcoming upgrades to the RB20 and his 2022 track success in Baku could revive his fighting spirit to triumph this weekend.

Carlos Sainz @ 11.00 (10/1)

Carlos Sainz is another top contender this weekend, with Ferrari’s Italy upgrades elevating his aspirations. He earned his fifth podium at the Austrian GP in June and finished fourth at Monza, ahead of Hamilton and Verstappen. Ferrari’s recent upgrade could boost Sainz’s chances of winning in Baku. Most betting sites in Azerbaijan have offered Sainz odds of 11.00 (10/1) to triumph.

2024 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Preview

The Baku City Circuit Analysis

The Baku City Circuit is notorious for its unusual layout. The first part of the lap features a series of tight 90-degree corners, followed by the famous castle section. After navigating these tricky turns, drivers face a barrage of fast corners before finishing the lap on the circuit’s incredibly long straight. The tight corners and long straights make Baku a circuit demanding high downforce and top-end speed.

Azerbaijan Grand Prix’s Previous Winner

Sergio Pérez is the only two-time winner of the Azerbaijan Grand Prix, with Verstappen and Hamilton each securing only one victory.

• 2023 – Sergio Pérez
• 2022 – Max Verstappen
• 2021 – Sergio Pérez
• 2020 – Not Held Due to COVID-19
• 2019 – Valtteri Bottas

F1 Azerbaijan GP Predictions 2024

Here are our 2024 F1 Azerbaijan GP betting tips:

Charles Leclerc To Win @ 6.00 (5/1)

Ferrari’s Monza victory brought pure joy to Charles Leclerc, who executed a brilliant one-stop strategy for the win. Ferrari looks strong again when heading to Baku, especially with Leclerc’s history of pole positions here. He was the pole sitter in the past three races in Azerbaijan but couldn’t convert them to victories. With Ferrari’s recent upgrades and Baku’s brake-heavy layout suiting their strengths, Leclerc finally has a solid chance to clinch victory at this circuit.

Max Verstappen – Podium Finish @ 2.10 (10/9)

Verstappen won four of the first five races this season. Given that start, the Dutchman seemed poised to replicate his 2023 dominance. However, his form dipped after the Spanish GP, with many attributing it to balance issues with the RB20. Despite this, he secured two podium finishes in his last five races. With past success at Baku in 2022, Verstappen is expected to contend for a podium this weekend. A podium finish will potentially extend his championship lead. Something he will be desperate to achieve.

Sergio Pérez – Top 6 Finish @ 2.20 (5/4)

Sergio Pérez has been struggling for form, with his last podium finish attained in April at the Chinese GP. While a podium spot may be out of reach, a top-six finish is realistic. As Baku’s most successful driver, with 115 points and two wins, Pérez’s familiarity with the circuit boosts his chances. He finished in the top six in all his first six races this year, and racing in Baku could reignite that form. His previous performances at Baku ensure he appears as the third pick on our F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix predictions guide.