Spain and Italy will face off in the second round of Group B fixtures. Both teams won their first games. They will both aim for points to secure a spot in the next round. Our Spain vs Italy predictions guide provides insights into likely outcomes for this game.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | UEFA Euro Championship 2024, Group B, Second Round |
| 🏟️ Venue: | VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen, Germany |
| 🗓️ Date: | 20 June 2024 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 GMT on Thursday |
Football Euro 24 betting odds for Spain to triumph in this clash are currently at 2.15 (7/6), while Italy is rated an underdog with 3.60 (13/5) odds. Spain vs Italy odds for a draw are 3.25 (9/4), which can be a positive result for both sides.
| Group B Teams | Standings | Matches Played | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 1st | 1 | 3 |
| Italy | 2nd | 1 | 3 |
| Albania | 3rd | 1 | 0 |
| Croatia | 4th | 1 | 0 |
The standings are tight at the top of the table, but this match could determine the group winner. Croatia needs a win against Albania to boost their chances of finishing 2nd or 3rd. However, a win for Albania against Croatia will put them in contention for a 2nd or 3rd place finish.
Spain has had a better head-to-head result in recent fixtures against Gli Azzuri.
Spain kicked off Euro 2024 on a high note, securing a 3-0 victory over Croatia in Berlin. Excluding penalty shootouts, La Roja have only suffered two losses in their last 22 Euro matches (W13 D7). Those defeats came against Croatia and Italy in 2016.
Given their track record of reaching the knockout stage in six of their last seven Euro appearances, Spain are solid favorites to qualify for the last 16. Their only failure to progress occurred in 2004. With Group B being particularly competitive, the Spanish team will be thrilled to seal their qualification with a win against Italy on Thursday.
Alvaro Morata and Rodri should feature in this clash despite a minor injury in the opening match. However, Rodri must tread carefully, as another yellow card could lead to his suspension.
Italy kicked off their Euro 2024 campaign with a marginal 2-1 victory over Albania. Their triumph at Wembley three years ago surprised many, as they overcame Spain in the semi-finals and England in the final – both times in penalty shootouts. If the Italians repeat their success in Germany, they’ll be only the second nation to defend the title successfully since Spain in 2012.
This tournament is Luciano Spalletti’s debut as the Azzurri’s head coach in a major international competition. The ex-Napoli manager joins the ranks of 10 other Italian coaches who have led Italy in the Euros. He will look forward to enjoying a successful debut tournament.
Unless new injuries arise, Spalletti will likely stick with the team that secured the previous win.
Here are our Spain vs Italy betting predictions:
1 (50%)
(50%) 1
Spain is a serious favorite in this encounter based on its UEFA Euro 24 betting odds. La Roja demonstrated an impressive attacking performance against Croatia, a quality lacking in previous competitions. Players such as Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams were significant threats from the wings, and they are likely to thrive against Italy. In contrast, the Azzurri found it challenging to create scoring chances against Albania.
Spain has emerged victorious three times in its past five competitive matches against this opponent, two of which ended in 1:1 draws. This match serves as another stern examination for Spain. But they can successfully navigate it to secure their place in the last-16.
2 (100%)
0
We don’t expect many goals in this encounter. However, Spain will likely dominate possession, given their style of play. Italy will stay compact with a five-man defensive setup, denying Spain their favored half-spaces. Historically, Italy’s 45 games at the Euros have averaged just 1.84 goals – the lowest among teams with over ten appearances in the tournament. So, we expect under 2.5 total goals to play out in this game.
1 (50%)
(50%) 1
Álvaro Morata is pivotal for Spain’s attack, scoring six goals in Euro 2016 and 2020, only behind Cristiano Ronaldo and Griezmann in that period. He ended the 2023-24 La Liga season as the joint top-scoring Spaniard with 15 goals. With 36 goals in 74 international appearances, Morata surpassed David Silva as the fourth-highest scorer for Spain. Having netted in the group opener, he is expected to be the difference in this contest.
Here are our Spain vs Italy betting picks:
This looks like a close contest, but we expect Spain to secure a narrow victory and seal its qualification. Use our Spain vs Italy betting tips to stake on sites for football betting and win extra cash.
