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After more than ten months of non-stop action, the ATP Tour hosts its final event for the 2023 season in Italy. The season will end with a bang as the best eight players of the year compete in a week-long, round-robin invitational tournament, vying for the title of year-end champion as well as their slice of a record-breaking $15,000,000 prize pool. Read on for all our ATP Finals 2023 predictions.
Despite the fact that the Nitto ATP Finals 2023 has already started, there are plenty of bets to be made. Chances are, tennis fans could see the perfect finale of what has been a fascinating rivalry between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz in 2023.
Can Djokovic hold on and claim the year-end No. 1 spot? Can Alcaraz gain revenge for his most recent loss? Or, will a dark horse grab the spotlight instead and write their own name into the history books? Anything is possible in Turin, and we look at the 2023 ATP Finals odds to answer these questions.
|ℹ️ Tournament:||2023 Nitto ATP Finals, ATP Tour Invitational Event for Top-8 players|
|🏟️ Venue:||Pala Alpitour, Turin, Italy (indoor hard court)|
|🗓️ Dates:||Sunday 12 November to Sunday 19 November|
Before we get into our tennis ATP Finals betting tips, let’s look at what online bookies in Italy had to say about this tournament before the start:
Six-time winner and current world No 1 Novak Djokovic is understandably the bookies’ favorite heading into Turin, with a return of just 2.37 (11/8) for the Serbian to claim his seventh title. His biggest rival this year, Carlos Alcaraz, is a little off the pace, returning almost double the odds at 4.50 (7/2).
Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev are in the mix as well, with payouts of 6.00 (5/1) and 7.00 (6/1), respectively, while Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev are long shots at 15.00 (14/1). With odds of 21.00 (20/1), both Alexander Zverev and Holger Rune are considerable dark horses.
You’ve seen the odds and heard what’s at stake, and now it’s time for our ATP Finals 2023 predictions. Based on the latest ATP odds, here’s who we say will win this week in Turin:
Form, history, and motivation. That’s why you should bet on Djokovic to win the 2023 ATP Finals. Form-wise, since losing the fifth set of the Wimbledon final to Carlos Alcaraz in mid-July, Djokovic is 18-0 (and 31-1 since mid-May), with six titles this year, including three Grand Slams and two Masters 1000s. History-wise, the Serbian has won this event six times, most recently in 2022. Motivation-wise, two things are on the line for Djokovic in Turin: the year-end No. 1 spot and the outright record for most ATP Finals titles (he’s currently joint on six with Roger Federer).
The 36-year-old has been outspoken about how motivated he is by breaking records at this stage of his career. With another within his sights, don’t expect him to miss the opportunity.
For those who are after tennis ATP Finals betting picks that are a little more lucrative than simply betting on the favorite, then here’s a juicier wager:
Our free tips for ATP Finals 2023 tennis do not stop here. Perhaps the best bets we see ahead of this week’s tournament are below.
Daniil Medvedev has had the better of his compatriot Andrey Rublev across their rivalry, leading the head-to-head 6-2. However, Medvedev was poor at the ATP Finals last year, losing all three of his matches, including his group match against Rublev. This casts doubt over his ability to perform this year as well – will the Russian be burned out and have peaked too early?
Rublev has proven his ability to break the ceiling of his career this season, winning his first Masters 1000 event. He’ll be full of confidence and looking to claim even new ground in Turin, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if he begins by tipping over Medvedev.
Don’t worry, this bet doesn’t contradict our earlier prediction of Djokovic winning the ATP Finals. Here’s the logic: Djokovic himself has said that the beauty of this event is that players are able to lose a match or two and still win the tournament. The Serbian absolutely emptied the tank last week in Paris, playing five tough matches while fighting a stomach bug. In his first match, he’s up against an inspired Holger Rune, who came within a whisker of beating him in the Paris quarter-finals.
The reality was pretty close as Djokovic could drop his opening match against Rune (7-6, 6-7, 6-3), opening up the door for Sinner to win the group, but they will still face each other. The Italian is in brilliant form, rested after pulling out of Paris and playing in front of a home crowd, making him a tough beat. It’s a gamble, but with a return of 3.75 (11/4) and an opening win for Sinner against Tsitsipas (6-4, 6-4), it is worth a punt that Jannik will surprise a bit relaxed Novak in the face to face game.
Tennis fans have one last dose of action this week before the off-season commences, with the best of the best fighting it out for a bucket load of cash in Italy. All signs are pointing toward the Novak Djokovic train continuing to steam along at full speed, with the Serbian claiming his seventh ATP Finals title and eighth year-end No. 1 finish.