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Tennis fans will likely look back on the 2023 ATP Tour clay court season as one of the most wide-open in history. Novak Djokovic has a dodgy elbow and not much tennis under his belt, Rafael Nadal is on the side-lines, lucky losers are making finals, and a teenager is seemingly unbeatable. With an expanded draw and schedule in 2023, the Italian Open promises to be yet another fascinating clay court Masters 1000.
With the second Grand Slam of the year less than three weeks away, the 2023 Rome Masters offers one final opportunity for Roland Garros hopefuls to solidify a bit of momentum heading into Paris. Plenty of questions remain ahead of the start of play, however. Will Djokovic return at full fitness? Is Carlos Alcaraz capable of losing? Will Ruud or Tsitsipas finally hit some form?
Most importantly, with a persistent rain forecast, can Rome provide enough rain-free days for the tournament to be completed? We break down the answer to these questions and more, with our analysis of the latest 2023 Rome Masters tennis odds and presentation of our ATP Rome Masters 2023 predictions.
|ℹ️ Tournament:||2023 Italian Open, ATP Tour Masters 1000|
|🏟️ Venue:||Foro Italico, Rome, Italy (Clay surface)|
|🗓️ Dates:||Wednesday 10 May to Sunday 21 May|
Think you know the answers to these questions already, and simply want to bet on the 2023 Italian Open? Then never fear, we have the latest 2023 Rome Masters tennis odds for you from the top legal Italian bookmakers:
Unsurprisingly, Carlos Alcaraz is the heavy favorite to win the Rome Masters in his debut at the tournament. With odds of 2.25 (5/4), the only other man within touching distance of the Spaniard is current World No.1 Novak Djokovic.
Bridging the odds between these two and the rest of the betting favorites is home-hope Jannik Sinner, who pays 8.50 (15/2) for a win. Holger Rune and Stefanos Tsitsipas then round out the top five at the bookies, with returns of 13.00 (12/1) and 15.00 (14/1), respectively.
For context, the Italian Open is the last of three ATP Tour Masters 1000 tournaments in the clay court season. It’s the final major tournament ahead of Roland Garros, the most important clay court event in the ATP calendar. As a result, it’s a highly competitive event, with the best in men’s tennis all vying for momentum ahead of the year’s second Grand Slam.
Conditions in Rome are different to the other clay court Masters, and in many ways, the most similar to Roland Garros. Warmer weather means faster conditions, while a shortened area behind the baseline favors those who play more aggressive tennis.
With Nadal and Djokovic winning the Rome Masters 16 times between them in the past 18 years, this has not been a happy hunting ground for the rest of the ATP Tour in recent times. However, with Nadal on the side-lines and question marks over Djokovic’s health, will we see a new winner crowned in Rome this year? Read on for our expert tennis Italian Open 2023 betting tips.
Enough chit-chat, let’s get into the real reason you’re here: ATP Rome Masters 2023 predictions. For those who want to do some men’s tennis online betting, below are our free tips for ATP Rome Masters 2023:
Your most conservative bet of the evening, ladies and gentlemen. This is a bet on one of Novak Djokovic, Jannik Sinner or Holger Rune to win the tournament. These three sit second, third, and fourth in the outright winner betting odds and are all definite chances of winning. Throw in a few possibilities, such as Casper Ruud or Cam Norrie regaining form, plus dangerous names such as Botic van de Zandschulp, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Karen Khachanov, Francisco Cerundolo, and Tommy Paul all lurking in the top half, and this is looking like a very sharp bet.
The only issue with this wager is that Carlos Alcaraz is in the bottom half of the draw. However, we don’t think this is too much of a concern for reasons we’ll outline below.
Following on from the above bet, we say that backing Jannik Sinner to break the Italian hoodoo and finally claim a hometown win is an excellent wager. Prior to suffering an illness and pulling out from Barcelona (then Madrid), Sinner was playing at a top three level easily. The 21-year-old was 26-5 for the year prior to his withdrawal and had made the semi-finals or better in five of his last six tournaments, with one title. As one of only two men to beat Carlos Alcaraz this season, it’s safe to say Sinner is seeing the ball well in 2023.
Two factors in particular play in Sinner’s favor at the Italian Open. Firstly, he’s fresh. Assuming that Sinner has made a full recovery from his illness — reported to be a flu — the Italian has not played a lot of tennis the past three weeks. Considering that the poor weather forecast in Rome could mean a condensed schedule with multiple matches per day, Sinner will have the advantage of fresh legs compared to the likes of Alcaraz, who has made deep runs consistently in the past month.
Secondly, Sinner’s aggressive approach is perfect for Rome. He likes to take the ball early, rushing his opponents and striking close to, if not within, the baseline. The warm atmosphere and shortened back court make this style advantageous, particularly against a rusty Novak Djokovic in the semi-finals.
For those who would rather go big or go home, then we have some excellent high-return 2023 Rome Masters tennis odds in this betting preview:
As with Sinner, Rublev’s style matches the conditions in Rome perfectly. After winning Monte Carlo, Rublev exited early in Madrid and will head into Rome with plenty of confidence but the benefit of fresh legs. A quarter-final against compatriot Daniil Medvedev looms, who he’ll relish playing in these conditions, before a potential semi-final against a tired Carlos Alcaraz. Expect Rublev to be hungrier and more aggressive than Alcaraz, who won’t mind a semi-final exit considering the amount of tennis he’s played the past few months.
Now for our very high return bet. No one saw Jan-Lennard Struff making the Madrid final, and yet he almost lifted the trophy. We say there’s a chance that Emil Ruusuvuori could be this year’s dark horse in Rome. The young Fin plays an extremely aggressive brand of tennis, almost Sinner 2.0 like, and very nearly defeated Carlos Alcaraz in Madrid two weeks ago. With zero expectations and plenty of weapons, Ruusuvuori certainly isn’t the favorite in Rome, but he also feels like a better than 251.00 (250/1) chance of winning.
In a wide open clay court season, there are plenty of unanswered questions as the ATP Tour heads into its final Masters 1000 event before Roland Garros. Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner both return in an attempt to stem Carlos Alcaraz’s winning streak, and we say that Sinner will be the one to go all the way and lift the trophy next weekend. Ready the champagne, because Italy is finally going to have a home champion in Rome.