AC Milan vs. Juventus (2021/22 Serie A, January 23) Betting Tips & Predictions
AC Milan and Juventus are set to clash this weekend, and with so little time left, let’s jump right into our betting preview, check what AC Milan vs. Juventus odds show, and see what we can bet on.
As a clash that never fails to produce memorable highlights, this one will be crucial for the Rossoneri. They are fresh off a 1-2 loss against Spezia and need to challenge the rejuvenated Juventus, pick up all 3 points, and reduce the gap behind Inter Milan.
Knowing how important this match is for both Italian football heavyweights, we can be sure we’re in for an exciting night of football, but also a couple of excellent betting opportunities. So let’s take a look at what our betting expert has to say about the upcoming spectacle and whether you should stick with the most popular soccer bet on a winner or dig a bit deeper to find a smart wager.
AC Milan vs. Juventus Predictions & Odds
The AC Milan vs. Juventus betting odds suggests we should be in for a very tight affair. AC Milan is priced as slight favourites (13/8), with Juventus close behind at 7/4 and a draw at a generous 9/4.
To no one’s surprise, the bookies could not separate AC Milan and Juventus, which is fair, given AC Milan’s solid form over the season and Juventus’ recent resurgence. But will Juventus manage to keep their wheels spinning and hand the Rossoneri their 5th defeat of the 2021/22 season?
Both Teams to Score (4/6)
Looking at how the teams have done throughout this entire season, it would be more than fair to favour AC Milan to win. At the same time, AC Milan is fresh off a humiliating display against Spezia (1-2), which should make you wonder whether they can bounce back.
On the other side, Juventus entered this match with a 4-1-0 Serie A record and back-to-back win against Roma (4-3) and Udinese (2-0). Admittedly, Roma and Udinese are weaker than AC Milan, but we must acknowledge the Old Lady has looked better in recent weeks.
But while form-wise, Juventus and AC Milan look different, there is one thing they both have in common – the ability to score goals.
AC Milan has scored 47 goals across 22 outings and 11 across the last four. Meanwhile, Juventus have scored 34 this season and 11 in their previous 5 league fixtures. What’s more, both teams have scored at least one goal in all of their last 4.
AC Milan +0 (10/11)
AC Milan slipped against Spezia on Monday, and they weren’t imposing in their loss against Napoli (0-1) in December either. However, the hosts are still one of Serie A’s top teams and historically effective against Juventus.
The Bianconeri have met with AC Milan 173 times in Serie A and have managed 67 wins, 55 draws, and 51 defeats. Admittedly, Juventus won more head-to-head meetings, but they also drew 55.
What’s more, AC Milan is 2-3-1 against Juventus across their last 6 meetings, while their only loss over that stretch came in January 2021 (1-3).
We would have no issues backing them to defeat Juventus if AC Milan performed better against Spezia last time out. But even with that slip-up, AC Milan has shown enough throughout the season for us to believe they can at least take a point.
It’s also worth noting that AC Milan should have won against Spezia, but a shocking refereeing mistake prevented them from going 2-1 up. La Gazzetta Dello Sport reported that the referee is now facing a lengthy suspension, suggesting that something indeed wasn’t right in that match.
2 or 3 Goals in a Match (Evs)
Although we expect both teams to damage the attack and get their names on the board, we wouldn’t expect a very high-scoring affair, especially at San Siro.
AC Milan conceded 25 goals across 22 outings this season, roughly one goal per game. Meanwhile, they have conceded only 11 goals across 11 home games, which is quite solid.
Juventus have scored 34 goals across 22 outings and 20 in 11 away fixtures, which may seem scary. But that number is a bit inflated due to Juventus’ 4 goals against Roma (4-3), so we would take their away goal average (1.8) with a grain of salt.
We expect a closely contested match that just might end in a 1-1 draw, but even if one team comes out ahead, it’s unlikely that the night will end with more than 3 goals combined.
AC Milan: No More Room for Mistakes
AC Milan enters this match with a 15-3-4 record and 48 points, which is good for a second spot in the Serie A standings, 2 points short of their arch-rivals, Inter Milan. Milan could have already taken the lead, but their 1-2 defeat against Spezia threw a wrench in their plans to overtake their city rivals and set themselves up to compete for the Serie A title.
Although AC Milan has suffered a devastating setback, not everything is lost. A win on Sunday would put AC Milan back on track and within spitting distance of Inter Milan and the club’s 19th Serie A title.
In many ways, it’s all or nothing for the hosts, who can’t afford to drop points against Juventus and quickly find a way to start collecting wins. A loss would not only put them in an unenviable spot in the title race but could also see AC Milan drop down to 3rd, assuming Napoli can continue racking in wins.
It is a must-win match for AC Milan, and we expect that to show in their performances.
Last 5 Games
- AC Milan 1-2 Spezia
- AC Milan 3-1 Genoa
- Venezia 0-3 AC Milan
- AC Milan 3-1 Roma
- Empoli 2-4 AC Milan
Juventus: Better But Not There Yet
Juventus enter Sunday’s match following a 4-1 Coppa Italia victory against Sampdoria on Tuesday, marking their second consecutive victory across all competitions and 3rd across the last 5 outings.
In their remaining 4 bouts, Juventus defeated Udinese (2-0), lost against Inter (1-2) in the Super Cup, edged past AS Roma (4-3), and had to settle for a draw against Napoli (1-1) in their first Serie A match of 2022.
Although it’s been an up and down road for Juventus this season, the Bianconeri have seemingly found their stride across the last week, collecting 2 commanding wins. Still, they weren’t particularly efficient against Serie A’s top dogs in Inter and Napoli, so there is something to be said about how Juventus can look good against bottom-table teams but mediocre at best when faced with tough opponents.
Last 5 Games
- Juventus 4-1 Sampdoria
- Juventus 2-0 Udinese
- Inter 2-1 Juventus
- AS Roma 3-4 Juventus
- Juventus 1-1 Napoli
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
- Juventus 1-1 AC Milan (19.9.2021)
- Juventus 0-3 AC Milan (9.5.2021)
- AC Milan 1-3 Juventus (6.1.2021)
- AC Milan 4-2 Juventus (7.7.2020)
- Juventus 0-0 AC Milan (12.6.2020)
AC Milan will be without Pietro Pellegri, Fikayo Tomori, and Simon Kjaer, injured. Although not optimal, Stefano Pioli can be happy that his list of unavailable players is relatively small.
Meanwhile, Massimiliano Allegri has to deal with several missing players. That includes Aaron Ramsey, Federico Bernardeschi, Leonardo Bonucci, and Federico Chiesa.
Time and Date of the Event
AC Milan will host Juventus at San Siro in Milan, Italy, on Sunday, January 23, in the 23rd round of 2021/22 Serie A. As one of the most anticipated football matches of the week, it will be available on all major sporting TV channels and streaming sites, so finding a live stream won’t be challenging.
If you plan to do some in-play betting, visiting one of the Serie A bookmakers that offer live streams of Serie A matches and betting bonuses is your best bet, allowing you to wager on and watch the game as it unfolds.
AC Milan vs. Juventus – Bonus Prediction
We have provided 3 excellent AC Milan vs. Juventus betting tips above, but no betting preview is complete without a longshot wager. For this one, we’re taking a stab at a 1-1 correct score bet, paying at 9/2.
Although this is a match both teams will want to win, it’s also a fixture neither can afford to lose. For AC Milan, a defeat could see them drop out of the top-2, whereas for Juventus, it would severely harm their chances of reaching the top-4.
Their last meeting between AC Milan and Juventus ended in a 1-1 draw, and there is a good chance we could see a repeat score on Sunday.
Prediction: Correct score (1-1) – 9/2
Our AC Milan vs. Juventus Betting Tips
- Both Teams to Score – 4/6
- AC Milan +0 (10/11)
- 2 or 3 Goals in a Match – Evs
- Correct Score (1-1) – 9/2
That concludes our Serie A betting preview, equipping you with everything you need to know about where to find intelligent bets and profit on this Serie A derby!