Late goals betting is a kind of betting strategy that involves betting on goals scored in the final minutes of a game. It is based on the idea that teams get more desperate for goals in a game’s dying minutes. So, how does it work, and how can you use this strategy?
Here’s a simple illustration of how bets in late goals work. Let’s say you bet on a game between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid at 2.0 odds, predicting that there’ll be a goal in the final 10 minutes. If either team scores anytime between the 80th minute and the 90th minute, your bet wins. In this case, a $10 wager will give you a $20 return.
Like every other bet, the late-goal wager requires careful and thorough analysis. It is usually believed to work best in live betting. This is because betting live allows you to place late goal bets based on the tempo of the match.
The table below shows betting live on late goals differs from regular goal bets:
| Regular Goal Bet | Live Late Goal Bet |
|---|---|
| It is usually placed before the match begins. | It is placed while the match is in progress. |
| Regular pre-match odds are usually static. | Live odds change regularly as the game progresses. |
| It involves predicting a goal regardless of time. | It involves predicting a dying-minute goal. |
| It relies on pre-match analysis and prediction. | It relies on in-game analysis based on game flow. |
Below are some important late goals betting strategies to employ:
The first important late goals betting strategy to employ is always to conduct a thorough pre-match analysis. It will help you determine the appropriate match and team to bet on. Here are some basic strategies to employ in your pre-match analysis:
Focus on identifying teams that can score late goals. Going through factors like their recent matches, player availability, form, etc, will help you determine their performance level.
One major skill that shows betting expertise is properly analyzing and interpreting data or stats. In this context, you’re analyzing stats that provide relevant information on goal trends. It will help you find out which teams usually score or concede late goals or leagues where late goals are prevalent.
A team’s defensive skills and stamina can indicate how they perform late in games. Teams with weak defenses or low stamina may struggle, especially towards the end when opponents are more desperate to score.
As mentioned, you can also place live or in-game late-goal bets. While making an in-game bet, consider the following:
Timing is key when placing late goal bets. Typically, in football, which is one of the best sports for placing late goal bets, it should be after the 75th minute.
Live betting gives you the opportunity to place your bets based on real-time performance. You can spot changes in the tempo of the game or other factors like the introduction or removal of a key player, injuries, fatigue, etc., and make your decisions based on that.
Although betting live tends to yield higher odds and potentially higher returns, you have to be wise when making your bets. Do not bet more what you can afford to lose, especially when dealing with high-risk options.
Here are some of the most common late goals betting markets to explore:
The over/under market allows you to predict the total number of late goals to be scored. For example, you could bet on the over 1.5 option after the 75th-minute mark. It means there must be at least two goals after the 75th minute and before the match ends.
With this option, you’re betting over/under on either of the competing teams. For example, in a game between Arsenal and Burnley, you can bet over 1.5 on Arsenal after the 75th minute. It means that Arsenal must score at least two goals after the 75th minute and before the match ends.
To wager on this market, you have to bet live and follow the progress of the game. Basically, you’re guessing which team will score next after you make your bet. For instance, you lose, if you wager on Arsenal to score next, but Burnley scores first.
You can also bet on the type of goal that will be scored next after you place your bet. It could be a header, a penalty goal, a free kick, or an own goal. Also, you have to bet live to use this option.
With this option, you’re predicting the specific player that will score. For example, if you bet on Jude Bellingham as the goalscorer in a Madrid game, he has to be on the score sheet for your bet to win.
Another variation of this option is the last goalscorer betting option. It involves betting on the last person to score in a match. For example, if you wager on Bellingham as the last goalscorer, he must score, and no other player must score after him for your bet to win.
The interval bet option requires you to predict the timeframe in which a score will be scored. For example, you can bet on a goal occurring between the 80th and 90th minute of a match. If any player scores within that time frame, your bet wins.
It is another option that is exclusive to live betting. You’re simply predicting the result of the game after you place your bet. For example, you bet on Arsenal to win the rest of a game. If you place your bet in the 70th minute, Arsenal has to outscore their opponent in the remaining minutes of the match for your bet to win.
This option requires you to predict the exact score of the game. There are, however, different variants of this option. You can predict the exact score for the entire match, for either half, or even for a specific time frame.
Many sportsbooks allow live betting on late goals. However, the best bookmakers are usually the renowned ones. Here are some of the best sportsbooks to try out the late goal betting strategy:
Follow these tips for more successful late-goal bets:
Many late-goal betting options are only available when wagering on live matches. Hence it’s important that you use a sportsbook that offers good live betting services. You can try out any of the ones listed above.
You can’t just pick any game for late-goal bets. You must consider certain factors. For example, it’s advisable to bet on games that involve attacking teams or games between competitive teams. Such games tend to yield multiple goals, some of which may be scored late.
Timing is key, especially when it comes to live betting. The odds might be tempting, as they usually get bigger as the game nears end. However, only when you’ve made a proper analysis, whether by considering the momentum of the game, players introduced, etc, should you place your bet.
Proper analysis will also help you determine the ideal late-goal market to bet on. You can choose the Over/Under, the interval bet, the last goal bet, or the last goal none option.
Also, it’s important to understand what each option means soyou don’t ignorantly place the wrong wager. For example, the last goal bet involves predicting which team will score the last goal. The meaning of last goal none in betting is simply that none of the competing teams will score.
Check out other sportsbook odds to determine which is most favorable. Even if the difference is minute, consider opting for the higher odds. Higher odds equals higher returns.
Your late goal bets should be combined with a good overall betting strategy. You can consider popular strategies like system betting, especially when dealing with multiple selections. Regardless of any strategy you choose, always ensure that your bet is based on adequate research and analysis.
Never bet on impulse; take the time to conduct appropriate research and analysis first. Many bettors just bet because they see attractive odds. Some may not even know what a betting option means, but they bet on it because of the high odds. For example, the meaning of the last goal in betting is different from that of the last goalscorer option. Conducting prior research will help you understand the different markets and determine if it’s wise to wager on them.
Proper bankroll management will help you retain your winnings when you win and limit your losses when you lose. It’s key to successful long-term betting. Therefore, avoid taking large, riskier bets, and never chase losses. Remember, betting is not a get-rich-quick scheme.
Like every bet type, the late-goal betting market has pros and cons.
| PROS | CONS |
|---|---|
|
PROS
|
CONS
|
The late goal betting strategy is interesting with a wide array of markets to explore. It offers bettors the opportunity to identify and wager on value bets. Like any other betting strategy, you require proper research and analysis to make winning bets.
