Odds for English Premier League 2021/22: Liverpool Still Holds the Value
Last weekend’s Premier League match results have only served to solidify the positions of the top 3 teams as the title’s only realistic favourites.
Popular UK betting sites now believe that Man City are the runaway favourites. Liverpool and Chelsea’s title odds have remained pretty much the same following their substantial performances last week. West Ham is still 4th in the stakes, but their odds have lengthened to +10000 from +3300.
Meanwhile, the outright odds on Man U may have increased to +12500. However, they’ve surpassed Arsenal. The Gunners’ odds have lengthened to +15000 from +6600 have been beaten by Liverpool.
Who Are the Favourites to Win the Premier League?
There haven’t been any significant shifts amongst the favourites to win the Premier League so far.
Man City – Odds of -140
In their match against Everton, Man City displayed some impressive dominance, getting a truly impressive 1035 ball touches compared to Everton’s measly 401 during their 3-0 win. Despite this, their loss earlier this month to Crystal Palace means they’re still behind Chelsea by 3 points taking second place. Man City title odds to win the Premier League are still -140, and this makes them, at the moment, the only team to have minus-money odds in the marketplace.
Led by Pep Guardiola, the team has been leading the way throughout this season, clearly showing their technical superiority to the other teams. They commanded almost 80% of the ball possession when playing Everton – a figure which lines up with their metrics overall this season. Their possession rating is 65.3% above all the other teams!
Chelsea – Odds of +225
In their match on Saturday against Leicester City, Chelsea scored an outstanding victory which kept them at the head of the table. They’re still one of the most tricky defenses to breach in Europe, and, having only conceded 4 goals across 12 matches this season, they’ve significantly added to a clean sheet count.
Although some injury issues have prevented their strikes from making major streaks, Chelsea has found goals somewhere. During their past 5 games, they have scored 15. Thanks to their impressive 4-0 win over Juventus during their midweek Champions League match, they’ve also added more weight to that.
Thomas Tuchel has done an amazing job finding goals, and Leicester City, headed up by Brendan Rodgers, couldn’t match up to them on an all-important night. 61.3% of ball possession went to Chelsea, and they made no less than 803 touches – far more than the 553 attributed to Leicester. They also managed to attempt 4 times more than Leicester.
Liverpool – Odds of +450
During their 4-0 win over Arsenal, Liverpool sorted some of their problems out. Firstly, they returned to their winning ways following the break-in of their unbeaten run by the West Ham team last weekend. Secondly, they kept their sheet clean after having conceded 5 goals and scored just a single point during their previous two Premier League games. It has led to their title odds for the Premier League remaining exactly the same as last week.
Also, they’ve taken back the third place from West Ham due to their result against Arsenal, and they’re only one point short of Man City to take second place. They’re also the League’s highest-scoring team with an outstanding 35 goals.
All the typical suspects were at play – Mohamed Salah, Diogo Jota, and Sadio Mane – starring for Liverpool while they trashed Arsenal on the field at Anfield. The Liverpool team attempted to score 19 times, and 9 of them were on target during the game. They had possession 62% of the time, which made Arsenal look weak since they only managed 5 attempts at the goal.
Who Are the Favourites to Come in 4th Place?
The outright odds for the Premier League are operating on the assumption it’ll only be a race for the 4th place in the category since the top 3 are pretty much a given.
Man United – Odds of +120
Following 5 losses during their past 6 games, Man U have just sacked Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. Nevertheless, their squad is still of sufficient quality to be considered for the League’s top 4. They finished in second place last season. Since then, there has been little in the way of changes in the squad, and if anything, they’ve got better scoring options right now which can prove indispensable across a season.
However, the watch-and-wait strategy is probably the way forward with them since they’re not the most obvious 4th place choice as they could seem, simply because the club is in free-fall right now.
The saga is still ongoing about who their next manager will be and the length of time they’ll stay in charge. There are also questions about whether or not the club’s top management is going to change. It all pulls the team’s players away from a default success, and they’ll have to work hard to prevent that from happening.
Which Are the Best Value Picks for the 4th Place Finish?
West Ham – Odds of +325
West Ham last week rated 4th in the title odds for the Premier League; however, now, they’ve been placed more appropriately. They’re an inspiring team right now. However, it’s essential to be wary of bias since they lost while playing away against Wolverhampton Wanderers (a team that is currently on the rise up the table to 6th place).
What the West Ham team has going for it is its excellent balance between defense and attack. They’ve scored 23 goals and only conceded 14. While those aren’t title-winning numbers in any league, they’re the kind of spread that could be sufficient for a consistent 4th place challenge through the season.
However, it’s best to beware of relying on their current form if you’re considering betting on the football team in the long term. They’ll be playing Manchester City and Chelsea in 2 out of their upcoming 3 fixtures, so make a well-thought-out assessment with its basis on their performance during those games.