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2023 UEFA Europa League Final [Expert Analysis]

Uefa Europa Ligue Final

The 2023 UEFA Europa League final will be contested by Sevilla and Roma at the Puskas Arena in Budapest, Hungary on Wednesday 31 May.

Sevilla are the most successful side in the history of the competition and they will be chasing a seventh crown this week. As for Roma, their manager Jose Mourinho has won all five of the European finals he has contested in his career.

Who will come out on top in the 2023 Europa League final? You can find the latest odds below, followed by our analysis of the match.

Match Result (90 minutes) Relegation Odds Bookmaker
Sevilla 9/5 Bet UK
Draw 21/10 B
Roma 45/23 Vbet

Will Sevilla Enjoy More Europa League Success?

Knockout Stage Results

  • Knockout round play-offs: Sevilla 3-2 PSV (aggregate)
  • Round of 16: Sevilla 2-1 Fenerbahce
  • Quarter-finals: Manchester United 2-5 Sevilla
  • Semi-finals: Juventus 2-3 Sevilla

Sevilla are the kings of the Europa League. All six of their previous triumphs came in the last 17 years, and their players will believe it is their destiny to lift the trophy this season.

Sevilla spent much of the La Liga campaign worrying about relegation. It was only after Jose Luis Mendilibar pulled the team clear of the drop zone that a Europa League challenge seemed feasible.

Sevilla have had a tough run to the final, and their 5-2 aggregate victory over Manchester United in the last eight was a standout moment. Sevilla usually play with intensity and aggression, and they will hope their attacking endeavour is rewarded on Wednesday.

However, the Spanish outfit have not won any of their seven away games in Europe this term. That is cause for concern ahead of the final at a neutral venue.

Can Jose Mourinho Work His Magic for Roma?

Knockout Stage Results

  • Knockout round play-offs: Red Bull Salzburg 1-2 Roma (aggregate)
  • Round of 16: Roma 2-0 Real Sociedad
  • Quarter-finals: Feyenoord 2-4 Roma
  • Semi-finals: Roma 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen

Jose Mourinho led Roma to Europa Conference League glory last term and he is now looking to repeat the feat in the Europa League. The Portuguese has an abundance of experience in this competition having previously won it with Porto and Manchester United.

Roma carried out a classic Mourinho performance in the semi-finals, winning the first leg against Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 before grinding out a goalless draw in the return fixture. Leverkusen had more possession and more shots, but Roma found a way to get the result they needed.

Can they do the same on Wednesday? Their approach is unlikely to be pretty: the Giallorossi will pack men behind the ball and cede possession, before attempting to hit Sevilla on the break. Those methods have worked well for Mourinho in the past, but their opponents will know what to expect.

With Paulo Dybala unlikely to be fully fit, Roma could struggle to create chances of their own. Moreover, they too did not win any of their away games in the knockout phase.


There is unlikely to be much between these two teams in Wednesday’s final. On balance, though, we reckon Sevilla have the edge. Back the Spanish side to win the Europa League for the fifth time in the last 10 years.

Football Journalist

Greg is a freelance football writer from London. He primarily covers the Premier League but also has experience covering other European competitions. He has had work published by the likes of the Guardian, FourFourTwo,, ESPN and more.

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