Betting Guides
Expected Goals Betting Explained
Expected goals (xG) is a metric in football betting that quantifies the likelihood of a shot resulting in a goal. For punters that engage in EG betting, this statistical model takes every goal attempt created in a game and compares them to thousands of similar historical chances. It then assigns a figure from 0 to 1 to each chance based on its probability of achieving a goal. This figure is the expected goal or xG. For instance, an xG value of 0.2 means the shot is scored 20% of the time based on historical data analysis of opportunities with similar characteristics.
